August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[stuffradio]

The models appear to be showing a range of 25-30C right now this weekend for Abbotsford. It's hot but not as hot as last week.

[Forrest Gump]

Rain!!! maybe a bit light to be called rain but it is coming down hard enough to be running off the roof. Deck is wet too.

Are you talking about that wet stuff that we just endured for 10 months ,from Sept-June?

[Typeing3]

Rain!!! maybe a bit light to be called rain but it is coming down hard enough to be running off the roof. Deck is wet too.

Nice and dry here.. for now...

[Typeing3]

As mentioned in the article shared yesterday, smoke also blanketed the south coast in 1967, in addition to 1926, 1945, and 1958. Wildfires all across the interior Pacific Northwest were particularly bad from August through September in 1967.

Smoke eventually drifted into the Lower Mainland on September 14th and persisted for over two weeks or about 16 days, until September 29th (at first glance, seems pretty similar to that smokey stretch we saw in September 2020) with a few breaks during that period, as seen at the hourly observations taken at YXX here: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 2&time=LST

Found some other articles from back then that delved into the wildfire situation across the region from August-September 1967:

Fire Hits In Idaho Forests
August 19th, 1967
https://cdnc.ucr.edu/?a=d&d=DS19670819. ... N--------1

Idaho Gov. Don Samuelson sent National Guardsmen into the battle against a stubborn forest fire near the Canadian border today as timber blazes crackled in five Western states and British Columbia. More than 40,000 acres of grass, brush and timberland have been charred the past three days in the nation’s worst outbreak of fires this summer.

Hot, dry weather heightened the fire danger. Samuelson declared a state of emergency in the Trapper Peak area, 10 miles from the Canadian border, where 3,200 acres of forest were blackened. He said the situation could worsen if electrical storms occur during the weekend. Some 25,000 acres were burned in British Columbia as strong winds fanned the flames. In an effort to ease the danger, all logging operations were ordered shut down. Campfire permits were suspended in one forest and a recreational closure was ordered for another.

Fires also ravaged timber and brush lands in Montana, Washington, Oregon and California. Forest Rangers warned weekend travelers to use extreme caution with smoking materials. In California an army of smoke-eaters controlled a forest fire which burned 1,000 acres in the Lake County vacation area. The blaze erupted Friday afternoon as the thermometer soared over the 100-degree mark.

On the north coast, a fire began eating into Douglas fir trees after raging through 3,500 acres of grass and brush near the Eel River. Fire fighters hoped to control a 390-acre fire in the Siskiyou National Forest in Oregon today. The blaze had been out of control for three days, there has not been rain in the area since June 1. Gov. Tom McCall flew over Western Oregon Friday and said a dry lightning forecast “could create an explosive situation” because the forests were bone dry.

A lightning-caused fire south of Jordan Valley, Ore., seared 750 acres of ranchland. Two blazes were ruining picturesque areas of Glacier National Park in Montana. One blackened 2,000 acres and jumped into the Flathead National Forest. The other burned about 500 acres in a remote area which includes high, rocky cliffs. Glacier Park Supt. Keith Nielson ordered two lookouts evacuated because “dense smoke made it difficult to see anything.” Besides the two big fires, he said, nine small ones were reported in the park. In Washington, Forest Rangers reported that all the fires in their areas were minor. However, trey feared the influx of weekend fun-seekers could make the situation dangerous.

Canadian foresters said fires devoured thousands of acres of virgin timber in the Nelson, Kamloops and Prince George regions. A 2,500-acre blaze on Vancouver Island was controlled after a 48-hour battle. Thirty-three fires surged through more than 10,000 acres in the Prince George region. Fires at Bak and Tuff consumed 5,000 acres each. In the vicinity of Kamloops and Nelson. 260 fires roared over nearly 10,000 acres.

Fire Series Rakes Pacific Northwest
August 21st, 1967
https://cdnc.ucr.edu/?a=d&d=DS19670821. ... --1967---1

Hundreds of lighting-sparked forest fires roared across the tinder dry Pacific Northwest today, some with such intensity that weary firemen walked off the battle lines in frustration. The rash of blazes, fanned by a record heal wave, already has charred more than 51,000 acres of brush and timber in five Western states and British Columbia. Major fires were out of control in Idaho, Oregon, Montana and British Columbia, where two Canadian fire spotters were missing in a plane crash.

California and Washington reported only minor blazes, but the continuing hot, dry spell left conditions explosive. The mercury climbed to 100 degrees throughout the fire area again Sunday. Lewiston, Idaho, recorded its 11th consecutive day of temperatures above 100. Portland, Ore., was expected to tie an all-time record today—60 consecutive days with no measurable rain.

British Columbia was hardest hit, with 30,000 acres destroyed by some 400 fires in the past week. The toughest fire-fighting conditions were reported in the rugged mountain country of Northern Idaho. Three major timber fires jumped lines in the area Sunday, and a fast-moving dry lightning storm set nine new blazes. The situation was far worse than Friday, which Idaho Gov. Don Samuelson proclaimed a state of emergency.

A U.S. Forestry spokesman said the Trapper Peak fire jumped state-manned lines and burned downhill over rugged terrain. The conflagration has destroyed nearly 4.000 acres, despite the efforts of 1,000 firefighters. The spokesman said the blaze was so tough some smoke-eaters were walking off the lines without collecting their pay. He said some men had to be pulled up cliffs by rope after flames drove them back into deadend rock formation. A call went out for 500 additional men to replace some of the firefighters who had been battling the blaze for 10 days.

Meanwhile the Kaniksu Mountain fire northwest of Trapper doubled in size to nearly 500 acres despite the efforts of 350 men. The Plume Creek blaze,10 miles northeast of Sand Point, Idaho, exploded from 30 acres to an estimated 600 in two days. The situation in British Columbia was so bad that officials closed outdoor recreation areas including Stanley Park in downtown Vancouver. Two fire spotters were reported missing when their light plane crashed Sunday in the Nelson forest district.

Big Idaho Fire Out Of Hand
September 5th, 1967
https://cdnc.ucr.edu/?a=d&d=MT19670905. ... --1967---1

A force of 3,200 fire fighters massed on the lines today against Northern Idaho’s huge Sundance blaze, the largest conflagration still out of control in a month-long series that has sent flames through 300,000 acres of the Pacific Northwest. The 55,000-acre Sundance fire and a seemingly unending plague of explosive eruptions in British Columbia remained the only brim aspects of otherwise encouraging reports from forestry officials. They said the Sundance blaze was not really growing because of favorable winds. However, more than 65 miles of firelines will be required to contain it and only 26 have been built. Fresh smoke eaters, including Eskimos from Alaska and Indians from the Southwest, joined the battle early today.

In British Columbia, a quick change in the wind turned a huge wall of flames in the 40,000-acre Lake Shuswap blaze, forcing firemen to flee. Two Oregon fires remained out of control but the state's largest, covering 7,700 acres at Big Lake Airstrip, was contained. The situation was reported under control in Washington, Montana and California. State-by-state report: Idaho A military atmosphere prevails at the community of Sandpoint, headquarters for a 6,000-man force of forestry officials, Army personnel and civilian volunteers. Major assault under way on the Sundance fire. The 16,500-acre Trapper Peak blaze reported near containment.

British Columbia Canadian crews fought about 250 fires, including the huge Shuswap conflagration and a 28,000-acre fire near Nelson. Oregon Control of the Big Lake airstrip blaze is expected today, and officials are predicting control of the smaller Devil’s Ridge and Eagle Hock fires by Wednesday. Washington Evergreen Mountain and Dalles Ridge fires under control and reduction of crews under way. Montana Only a few scattered fires remained after lightning - spawned blazes charred 30,000 acres of range land. One fire destroyed barns, corrals and an entire hay crop at a ranch near Malta.

Note -- Will be cross posting each of the three wildfire/smoke seasons in new threads in the "Weather Stats" section so they don't get lost in this thread. Found more articles from August-September 1967 and will share them in the new thread as well.

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

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12z ECMWF ensembles:

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12z GEM ensembles:

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[Roberts Creeker]

Are you talking about that wet stuff that we just endured for 10 months ,from Sept-June?

Yup it's back need to keep the pasture growing till I sell more sheep. has drizzled on and off all day. Maybe 2 mm so not really much use...and it reminds me of the dark, cold, wet days of endless rain.

17c currently, high of 17.8c today. I wonder what the lowest high temp is for august.

[Roberts Creeker]

Nice and dry here.. for now...

Still dry? It's been drizzling or overcast all day here.

[Roberts Creeker]

Thanks for the weather round up

That was some hail! I sure wouldn't want to get hit by those.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Still dry? It's been drizzling or overcast all day here.

Typer should start seeing moisture fall soon, I would guess. It took until about 6:00 pm for it to start, but the drizzle is now underway in Vancouver.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Not just drizzle anymore. Actual rain!

[AbbyJr]

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[Bonovox]

Just an absolutely gorgeous evening today.

[SouthSardiswx]

Just an absolutely gorgeous evening today.

Sico

[SouthSardiswx]

You missed!

[Weather101]

Been pouring last couple hours