October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

[wetcoast91]

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Terrain bleed. Toss it out.

[Catnip]

3/4 ain't bad....





https://twitter.com/bamwxcom/status/158 ... Fp4-5gNdhQ

[Catnip]

12z GFS Rainfall totals for Thursdays event.

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[Catnip]

Terrain bleed. Toss it out.

Nito....

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[Typeing3]

https://mobile.twitter.com/Squamishweat ... 4204602368

https://mobile.twitter.com/ensembleator ... 0548574208

https://mobile.twitter.com/MMadryga/sta ... 6077505536
https://mobile.twitter.com/MMadryga/sta ... 9250581504

https://mobile.twitter.com/MurphTWN/sta ... 8219749376

https://mobile.twitter.com/weathernetwo ... 5396059139

https://mobile.twitter.com/HowesNathan/ ... 9138283520

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Pay no attention to how both the Euro and the GFS agree on the West being cold in the first half of November. The Judah model says otherwise!

https://twitter.com/judah47/status/1584901966664269825

[Typeing3]

Pay no attention to how both the Euro and the GFS agree on the West being cold in the first half of November. The Judah model says otherwise!

Recall him constantly forecasting a cold November/December last year out east which didn't verify.

His forecast remained steadfast into January when most long range models pointed at cold continuing in the west which ultimately ended up being wrong and him being right. I'd say the models took more of a gamble forecasting a cold January for us since our last one was back in 1993.

[Bonovox]

I haven't been paying attention, but what? 00Z Euro.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Recall him constantly forecasting a cold November/December last year out east which didn't verify.

His forecast remained steadfast into January when most long range models pointed at cold continuing in the west which ultimately ended up being wrong and him being right. I'd say the models took more of a gamble forecasting a cold January for us since our last one was back in 1993.

Yes, it led to no shortage of joking about the “Judah model” here.

I have seen no evidence that his “advanced, machine learning” model is anything more than what he, Judah, as an East Coast weather weenie, personally wants.

[stuffradio]

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[wetcoast91]

There are a few twitter weather enthusiasts making a big deal about the next 2 AR's. 50-80mm is not a concern over a 48 hour period. 120-150mm over the span of a week isn't bad either.

120-150mm over 2 days? Potentially dangerous but no models are showing anything to say "FLOOD."

[SouthSardiswx]

Terrain bleed. Toss it out.

It's all coming back to me now, terrain bleed, toss it out, low stays off shore, Judah Cohen says so. cold goes east models backing off, models drying out, cold air gets here when moisture departs.
I'm fine really years of this hasn't affected me must be all those years of watching Knuckle hockey. It's currently 11c @ the pond in south Sardis.

[SouthSardiswx]

There are a few twitter weather enthusiasts making a big deal about the next 2 AR's. 50-80mm is not a concern over a 48 hour period. 120-150mm over the span of a week isn't bad either.

120-150mm over 2 days? Potentially dangerous but no models are showing anything to say "FLOOD."

Ah wonderful news El Nice'o l regret having to stay in Abbotsford like l did last November becsuse of work and l couldn't get back to the Whack. Especially staying at the mother inlaws was brutally painful.

[wetcoast91]

Ah wonderful news El Nice'o l regret having to stay in Abbotsford like l did last November becsuse of work and l couldn't get back to the Whack. especially at mother inlaws.

Did you not invest in a amphibious vehicle?

[SouthSardiswx]

I haven't been paying attention, but what? 00Z Euro.

It got into Weeders101 stash Bones l'm assuming or it's hanging out with the drunkle uncle.
Senior GooFasS.