October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Oct 24, 2022 2:57 pm Wasn’t he predicting a wind storm for yesterday?

:think:
Is Vlad at it again? :lol:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 24, 2022 12:05 pm "Models scaling back from 15cm to 5cm."
"Flurries approaching from Bellingham!!"
"Looks like the outflow is cranking up and drying us out."
"Similkameen just got dumped on!!!"
"Similkameen!!!"
Love it when most everyone returns and the bashing begins. :lol: looks more like El Neets is scaling back the 15cm how's the new roof holding up,.
toss afew pineapples 🍍 up there to test it out.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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AbbyJr
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Oct 24, 2022 2:57 pm Wasn’t he predicting a wind storm for yesterday?

:think:
Yes but he admitted this morning that he was mistaken and that he would consider the ECMWF solutions more in the future.

https://twitter.com/BCWeather101/status ... GB0gzJkBNg

While I don't always agree with his predictions, he does a good job and I don't think he intends to overhype weather events.

For example, he did an excellent job with his forecast for the July heatwave. So much so, that Meteorologist Tyler Hamilton with "The Weather Network" congratulated him.

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... GB0gzJkBNg

Personally, I highly respect his weather enthusiasm and dedication to learning. :clap: :thumbup:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert:
https://twitter.com/MMadryga/status/1583596277966987265

https://twitter.com/Squamishweather/sta ... 3461831681

https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 9664246784
https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 5374552064
https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 6192051200

https://twitter.com/MurphTWN/status/1584543360869535744

https://twitter.com/YVR__Weather/status ... 5625097222
:typing: :type3:
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert:
https://twitter.com/Brad604/status/1584507099148857344

https://twitter.com/surfingshreddie/sta ... 0508324864

https://twitter.com/HouckisPokisewx/sta ... 9253491717

https://twitter.com/Brad604/status/1584557532282245121
https://twitter.com/Brad604/status/1584607909153247232

https://twitter.com/MuketyMuk/status/15 ... 2695883780

https://twitter.com/TranBC_WestKoot/sta ... 3584124930

https://twitter.com/bobmackin/status/15 ... 9488391169
:typing: :type3:
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert:
https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSSeattle/s ... 5088846848
https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSSeattle/s ... 3340199936

https://twitter.com/SeattleWXGuy/status ... 9609470976
https://twitter.com/SeattleWXGuy/status ... 7446347776

https://twitter.com/YVR__Weather/status ... 4852721664
https://twitter.com/YVR__Weather/status ... 4453360642
https://twitter.com/YVR__Weather/status ... 6801218560
:typing: :type3:
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Catnip
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Extended range 18z GFS

Stays mainly offshore.
181.png
18.png
183.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:flakey: :flakey: :flakey: from the past!

This was the overunning snowfall event that followed one of the most significant mid-November arctic blasts on record.

November 17, 1955. Denman Street, Downtown Vancouver.
November 17, 1955. Denman Street, Downtown Vancouver..jpg
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 24, 2022 3:58 pm :flakey: :flakey: :flakey: from the past!

November 17, 1955. Denman Street, Downtown Vancouver.
November 17, 1955. Denman Street, Downtown Vancouver..jpg

This was the overunning snowfall event that followed one of the most significant mid-November arctic blasts on record.
Good ole fashioned Vancouver slush fest!

:thumbup: :mrgreen:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Oct 24, 2022 4:00 pm Good ole fashioned Vancouver slush fest!

:thumbup: :mrgreen:
Yep. :lol:

From the hourly obs, looks like the snow began falling in the afternoon and eventually turned to rain early the following morning. 10-20cm fell across the region.

The preceding arctic blast was certainly more significant than the snowfall.
YXX: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2
YVR: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2
Pitt Meadows: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:14clown: :14clown:

18z GFS has some "favorable" blocking in place way in the extended.

Cold air building over Northern/Central BC.
18zbc.png
18zbc2.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Oct 24, 2022 4:07 pm :14clown: :14clown:

18z GFS has some "favorable" blocking in place way in the extended.

Cold air building over Northern/Central BC.
O.k. l'm prepared for our first rug pull of the season best to get it over with early. :cryhard: :bs: :drunk:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Catnip
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

SouthSardiswx wrote: ↑Mon Oct 24, 2022 4:28 pm O.k. l'm prepared for our first rug pull of the season best to get it over with early. :cryhard: :bs: :drunk:
Don’t worry… the rug hasn’t even been rolled out yet. It’s still in storage.

:lol:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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tyweather
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Cold air arrives in Vancouver and I go out of town. I will be a little choked if it is a winter paradise in Vancouver while I am in a summer paradise (Mexico).
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by John »

https://twitter.com/BCWeather101/status ... 0709058561

:lol:
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