October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

[Hound]

Had a torrential rainstorm around 5am this morning with some strong winds. Brought the snow levels down quite a bit on the hills.

Cool webcam near you!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=75_mNQUeTS4

[PortKells]

Tries to get there, but pacific still too active. Confident that we will see that West Coast Ridge take form in November though.

How come? All I see is a November in a La Nina in a very wet/cool fall so far. At face value that seems almost a sure bet for more active weather than not. Maybe a couple days of ridging here and there if we're lucky.

[SouthSardiswx]

How come? All I see is a November in a La Nina in a very wet/cool fall so far. At face value that seems almost a sure bet for more active weather than not. Maybe a couple days of ridging here and there if we're lucky.

Valid point Kells however if you go back to every October on the forums El Pineapple always predicts a massive ridge in November. he's been right afew times.

[Typeing3]

Based on global sea surface temperature anomalies over the past month, the current top five analogues (since 1966) are 1970, 1975, 2007, 2010, and 2011.

[Typeing3]

Friday night still looks fairly clear and chilly.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_12 (1).png

gfs_cfractot_nwus_12.png

gfs_T2m_nwus_13.png

[Typeing3]

Lock it in!

1761669243_CFSseasonal.thumb.png.75c76db4750ee8b63c165bf55b775d32.png

[Typeing3]

Per 12z GFS ... Cool, mostly clear and breezy at times with E/NE winds for Halloween.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_19 (1).png

gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_20.png

gfs_T2m_nwus_20.png

[Typeing3]

12z HRDPS looks very wet tomorrow.

hrdps_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_32.png

hrdps_apcpn_nwus_48.png

[John]

12z HRDPS looks very wet tomorrow.
hrdps_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_32.png
hrdps_apcpn_nwus_48.png

Hokey doodles yes

[AbbyJr]

Per 12z GFS ... Cool, mostly clear and breezy at times with E/NE winds for Halloween.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_19 (1).png
gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_20.png
gfs_T2m_nwus_20.png

Yup. It shows around 80.5 mm of rain for Abbotsford. If that verified, it would be the highest daily rainfall since November 6th, 2006 when 83.2 mm fell.

[Antares]

Nice Score AntlerMan. Side note but weird how the Similkameens got snow already twice and you havent? I was there for the Oct 12 snowfall..only about .5cm but enough to make it barely WHITE lol

Too dry here so far.

[AbbyJr]

Lock it in!
1761669243_CFSseasonal.thumb.png.75c76db4750ee8b63c165bf55b775d32.png

December looks good too.

cfs-monthly-all-avg-namer-z500_anom_month_mostrecent-8316800.png

[Weather101]

I can’t believe we are actually getting a dry Helloween weekend

[PortKells]

December looks good too.

cfs-monthly-all-avg-namer-z500_anom_month_mostrecent-8316800.png

That looks like a wet pattern, good in the mountains.

[John]

Yup. It shows around 80.5 mm of rain for Abbotsford. If that verified, it would be the highest daily rainfall since November 6th, 2006 when 83.2 mm fell.

How much for chilliwack and chilliwack lake?