January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sun Jan 02, 2022 8:26 pm I don't know l'm kinda skeptical at this time, arctic air continues to be eroded from the south coast Hope has freezing rain now.
The central valley had some earlier this afternoon l don't see our winds going NE this week, if anything slushfest at best
Thoughts El Neety oh never mind wrong person to ask. :D
It's a fresh new trough providing the cold air for the overrunning.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Sun Jan 02, 2022 8:27 pm -11 in the valley? Dry inversion with 30+ cm of snow on the ground? Throw it out, amirite?


gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-1718800.png
Only mother nature (El Neets) has the answer Kells.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sun Jan 02, 2022 8:28 pm Enjoying the melt mini me. :D l'll have ham and cheese on that pleez.
Heck ya. Can drive without the stress of bad drivers hitting me but we need more melt. Maybe 20% melt here at most today. Still lots to get rid of to free up some parking.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Radar wrote: Sun Jan 02, 2022 8:27 pm GFS hasn’t produced accurate results in how long on totals with terrain bleed? Usually Euro and NAM are better.
Surely you can see this isn't terrain bleed?
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

PortKells wrote: Sun Jan 02, 2022 8:13 pm The goofus is incredibly intent on putting us briefly in the freezer after that overrunning event.



gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-1654000.png
It has gone against the grain and been stubborn on this one.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Sun Jan 02, 2022 8:28 pm It's a fresh new trough providing the cold air for the overrunning.
O.k. but there's no outflow attached forecast has El Nitto winds the next few day's.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Sun Jan 02, 2022 8:30 pm Surely you can see this isn't terrain bleed?
Only through his rose colored glasses, try 3rd glasses for better results Kells. :lol:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Radar wrote: Sun Jan 02, 2022 8:29 pm Heck ya. Can drive without the stress of bad drivers hitting me but we need more melt. Maybe 20% melt here at most today. Still lots to get rid of to free up some parking.
True but it's the cholesterol drivers mini you.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sun Jan 02, 2022 8:31 pm O.k. but there's no outflow attached forecast has El Nitto winds the next few day's.
Any weak outflow will result in an arctic fart causing dry air or probably rain. Just need nighttime clear skies with the current snowpack and an early morning cloud over on a cold system.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Radar wrote: Sun Jan 02, 2022 8:27 pm GFS hasn’t produced accurate results in how long on totals with terrain bleed? Usually Euro and NAM are better.
There is no terrain bleed going on for the Wed PM—Thu AM storm. The outflow ahead of the system is currently modeled to put us in the snow camp. It's not even that marginal, according to all the major global models.

Disclaimer: as currently modeled.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Also, getting a few gusts ripping through right now. Pretty windy.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Radar wrote: Sun Jan 02, 2022 8:36 pm Any weak outflow will result in an arctic fart causing dry air or probably rain. Just need nighttime clear skies with the current snowpack and an early morning cloud over on a cold system.
Sounds too complex to me, so your saying the wind has to come directly from the fart pipe for any chance of snow mini you.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

Visual wind summary
C35E0472-82CD-466A-B3D4-9F4185890416.jpeg
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Can hardly curb my enthusiasm for winters arrival in a month.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Radar wrote: Sun Jan 02, 2022 8:44 pm Visual wind summaryC35E0472-82CD-466A-B3D4-9F4185890416.jpeg
What is that mini you, looks like color with Barney.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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