November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
Michael1
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 589
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 6:49 pm
Location: Nanoose
Elevation: 120 ft.
Has thanked: 610 times
Been thanked: 1262 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 9:41 am This is all rain on the ski hills. Won't take much to erode the 1 meter snow depth.
Image
In the name of God, Saint Michael and Saint George; I dub thee "Sir Killjoy of Weathercestrershire"
User avatar
Canada Goose
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2299
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 12:41 pm
Location: Port Coquitlam (Downtown) - Banana Belt
Elevation: 11 m
Has thanked: 769 times
Been thanked: 4921 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 8:40 am TWN released its winter outlook. It's calling for a colder than normal and snowier than normal winter for SW BC.
I'll believe it when I see it.
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5596
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 10313 times
Been thanked: 10079 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 9:39 am Looks similar to some of the other's we've seen.


The focus of winter's fury will be in western Canada, where near-normal and colder-than-normal temperatures are expected to dominate this upcoming season.

British Columbia

A cold winter is expected across the province, with a heightened risk for periods of severe cold for the B.C. Peace region and arctic outflow events for the south coast region. However, the frigid pattern will relax at times, especially during December.

An active storm track should also bring above-normal snowfall to southern parts of the province, including Vancouver, Victoria, and Kelowna. Much of the south and central coast should see near-normal rain totals with a lower than normal risk for Pineapple Express events. Below-normal precipitation is expected for the north coast region.

However, above-normal snow totals are expected to extend into some areas with near-normal precipitation totals. The colder temperatures should result in less rain and more pure snow events, even across lower elevations.

A solid ski season is expected, including a strong start to the season, especially compared to last year. Snow totals in the alpine regions are not expected to be exceptional, but fewer rain events in the alpine regions should help to preserve the snow that does fall across the region, and colder temperatures will allow for more snowmaking opportunities.

NAT_Temp_Winter2425.jpg
NAT_Precip_WinterFX2425.jpg
NAT_Snow_WinterFX2425.jpg
Backloaded winter. Works for me if it means a cold January. :wave:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9710
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11899 times
Been thanked: 21473 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Euro looks pretty pineapply in the extended...

Neetz should be here shortly! :mrgreen:

:dancepine:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4567
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 28701 times
Been thanked: 9767 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 11:25 am Euro looks pretty pineapply in the extended...

Neetz should be here shortly! :mrgreen:

You mean Neets in his pink petites!
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9710
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11899 times
Been thanked: 21473 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Ridge looks like it may start to retrograde at the end of the EPS.

Some of the other longer range models have hinted at this on and off the past few days.

Something to keep an eye on I guess.

#2ndhalfofDEC

:mrgreen:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6156
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6127 times
Been thanked: 14043 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 11:25 am Euro looks pretty pineapply in the extended...

Neetz should be here shortly! :mrgreen:

:dancepine:
Image
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12652
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22029 times
Been thanked: 24395 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 9:39 am Looks similar to some of the other's we've seen.


The focus of winter's fury will be in western Canada, where near-normal and colder-than-normal temperatures are expected to dominate this upcoming season.

British Columbia

A cold winter is expected across the province, with a heightened risk for periods of severe cold for the B.C. Peace region and arctic outflow events for the south coast region. However, the frigid pattern will relax at times, especially during December.

An active storm track should also bring above-normal snowfall to southern parts of the province, including Vancouver, Victoria, and Kelowna. Much of the south and central coast should see near-normal rain totals with a lower than normal risk for Pineapple Express events. Below-normal precipitation is expected for the north coast region.

However, above-normal snow totals are expected to extend into some areas with near-normal precipitation totals. The colder temperatures should result in less rain and more pure snow events, even across lower elevations.

A solid ski season is expected, including a strong start to the season, especially compared to last year. Snow totals in the alpine regions are not expected to be exceptional, but fewer rain events in the alpine regions should help to preserve the snow that does fall across the region, and colder temperatures will allow for more snowmaking opportunities.

NAT_Temp_Winter2425.jpg
NAT_Precip_WinterFX2425.jpg
NAT_Snow_WinterFX2425.jpg
Looks like they're going for a bit of a suppressed jet pattern too, with below average precip on the north and central coast. Would mean we could see a few battleground setups between the cold, dry air to the north and the warm, mild air to the south.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12652
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22029 times
Been thanked: 24395 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 11:09 am Backloaded winter. Works for me if it means a cold January. :wave:
Not possible! :eh:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6156
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6127 times
Been thanked: 14043 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 1:22 pm Not possible! :eh:
Cold February, March and April :wave:
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3752
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4108 times
Been thanked: 7993 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

I would like there to be snow in the second half of December. My family is visiting from HK and some have never seen snow before.
Nito, pls ask your pineapple deities to grant this one wish.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19506
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53157 times
Been thanked: 16675 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Kanukes are playing decent so who cares if it torches for now.
Bess is back Dumko will be back soon and JT hopefully soon l'm thinking mental health issues. We reached a low of 3c this morning in the central valley no hard freeze yet
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Wed Nov 27, 2024 4:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12676 times
Been thanked: 6463 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 7:55 am It took some warm AR’s to achieve that. Warm dry ridging, like what’s being modelled, will cause compaction but no big melt-off.
tell em Rubus!! :lol: :lol:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12676 times
Been thanked: 6463 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 8:40 am TWN released its winter outlook. It's calling for a colder than normal and snowier than normal winter for SW BC.
TWN? :roll: :roll:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9710
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11899 times
Been thanked: 21473 times

Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Perhaps still things to figure out as we head into December.

#2ndhalfofDEC
#nomorepineapples

:shrug:
18z.png
12z.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Post Reply