January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Radar wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 5:07 pm These NBM maps are always wrong.
Better than anything else we have.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 5:26 pm Better than anything else we have.
Like Snow Wiz in reverse. Everything is a hidden rain signal.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 5:27 pm Like Snow Wiz in reverse. Everything is a hidden rain signal.
Getting pretty annoying IMO. Show up at any other time of year to talk weather otherwise I get suspicious that we have people here who don't like when others experience optimism.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Also this Monday/Tuesday may be highly marginal but Wednesday/Thursday as of now is pretty solid. There's no reason yet to question whether it will produce relatively high snow accumulations. That's just the best facts we have right now.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The Abbotsford airport recorded a high of 6.1C today. However, I only made it as high as 1.4C. My area must have been sheltered from the SE winds. Still strange but not surprising. I used to work down by the airport and I've seen many times where it was super windy at the airport and calm with perhaps a light breeze where I live. Microclimates.

It's currently 1.0C here. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Wind has broken through here. Up to 3.5°C. It’s gonna melt fast so long as this keeps up.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

tyweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 5:13 pm Sounds like the snow level is about 500 m currently on Cypress. Someone reported snow starting shortly after the viewpoint.
It was snowing in the upper level British Properties in West Vancouver
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

https://twitter.com/vlad_rad/status/147 ... IHPpw&s=19
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Temp beginning to fall here. Currently 3.6C and light rain. No visible splats yet.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Radar wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 5:07 pm These NBM maps are always wrong.
The NWS uses the NBM as one of their primary forecast tools. If it is good enough for actual pro Mets, it is probably a good model.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

HRRR has some snow tomorrow morning.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by ClaytonWx »

I heard there were water spouts spotted in Howe Sound in the last couple hours.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 6:06 pm HRRR has some snow tomorrow morning.
NAM :dunno:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

ClaytonWx wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 6:07 pm I heard there were water spouts spotted in Howe Sound in the last couple hours.
I'd believe it. Watching an area in SW Washington right now as you can see a notable hook in the radar.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 5:58 pm The NWS uses the NBM as one of their primary forecast tools. If it is good enough for actual pro Mets, it is probably a good model.
Smoothing out the biases of individual models seems good to me :dunno:
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