December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

[SouthSardiswx]

Localised cell last 30 minutes still dropping hail/ice pellets and rain

Yeah you could see that cell on radar over Ditchmond was almost stationary.

[Glacier]

Hot as heck in Manitoba yesterday...

dauphin.png

[Storm]

https://twitter.com/judah47/status/1337 ... 85027?s=19

Sorry to break it to you Jr. but he has been beating that drum for ever. Big time East Coast Weenie.

[AbbyJr]

Sorry to break it to you Jr. but he has been beating that drum for ever. Big time East Coast Weenie.

I don't mean this as a complaint but I have a kind request.

Can we please be a little more positive around here?

I'm not suggesting hyping things up to 1950-1960 analogs.

We don't have to be as radically positive as the American forums so as to be delusional. However, we also don't need to go to the other extreme being so radically negative.

What about just having a balance of being hopeful yet realistic.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

From a recent post in the American forum:

The ECMWF ensemble model horizontal resolution drops to 65km into the second week which should explain the unrealistic snowfall forecast for lots of places around here. Bellingham’s “pixel” may have an elevation of 1000’ or whatever if average elevation of 40 mile square is used . Certainly the barriers to outflow of Arctic air into the region (cascades and Rockies) are underrepresented.

So now we know.

[PortKells]

Not as hopeless as it could be.

ens_image (2).png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

I don't mean this as a complaint but I have a kind request.

Can we please be a little more positive around here?

I'm not suggesting hyping things up to 1950-1960 analogs.

We don't have to be as radically positive as the American forums so as to be delusional. However, we also don't need to go to the other extreme being so radically negative.

What about just having a balance of being hopeful yet realistic.

Or as I have observed before: wishcasting in reverse is still a form of wishcasting.

[PortKells]

I don't mean this as a complaint but I have a kind request.

Can we please be a little more positive around here?

I'm not suggesting hyping things up to 1950-1960 analogs.

We don't have to be as radically positive as the American forums so as to be delusional. However, we also don't need to go to the other extreme being so radically negative.

What about just having a balance of being hopeful yet realistic.

Bah humbug.
Jk Jr.

I haven't personally seen anybody go over the line into radically negative. There are times when disappointments happen and people (like me) just rant a bit. I don't think that's unhealthy. I mean you can take any situation here and apply a healthy dose of skepticism to it. Its mostly in good fun. If we're only allowed to really post positive stuff then it takes a lot of the fun out of it. Letting off steam is healthy. When we cross into cynical then I do understand why that's unhealthy.

I had a few rants back in February 2019 that crossed into what I would call meltdown territory. If I read them now I wouldn't be able to un-cringe until next Sunday. I had not previously conceived of a situation where Seattle gets two feet and we get a frozen dust storm. But now I know that can happen. Its part of the learning process. Just ride that weather wave until you end up on top of a glorious 50 Cm of snow and a -15 reading on your ice encased thermometer and then we can just celebrate. This is kind of like being a fan of a sports team. Only one team out of 30 gets to climb the mountain in the end, everybody else gets pain in the end but hope for the future.

[AbbyJr]

Bah humbug.
Jk Jr.

I haven't personally seen anybody go over the line into radically negative. There are times when disappointments happen and people (like me) just rant a bit. I don't think that's unhealthy. I mean you can take any situation here and apply a healthy dose of skepticism to it. Its mostly in good fun. If we're only allowed to really post positive stuff then it takes a lot of the fun out of it. Letting off steam is healthy. When we cross into cynical then I do understand why that's unhealthy.

I had a few rants back in February 2019 that crossed into what I would call meltdown territory. If I read them now I wouldn't be able to un-cringe until next Sunday. I had not previously conceived of a situation where Seattle gets two feet and we get a frozen dust storm. But now I know that can happen. Its part of the learning process. Just ride that weather wave until you end up on top of a glorious 50 Cm of snow and a -15 reading on your ice encased thermometer and then we can just celebrate. This is kind of like being a fan of a sports team. Only one team out of 30 gets to climb the mountain in the end, everybody else gets pain in the end but hope for the future.

Fair enough. Perhaps I overreacted, and for that I'm sorry. I have just been feeling a sense of negativity on here but maybe its just me.

Don't worry, we are all still friends

[SouthSardiswx]

Well Jr. It's all good enjoy the holiday's we all need it after the year we've been through. It's just weather and weather will do what it wants. Stay positive and believe. Peace!

[SouthSardiswx]

Not as hopeless as it could be.

ens_image (2).png

But still hopeless.

[Weather101]

I don't mean this as a complaint but I have a kind request.

Can we please be a little more positive around here?

I'm not suggesting hyping things up to 1950-1960 analogs.

We don't have to be as radically positive as the American forums so as to be delusional. However, we also don't need to go to the other extreme being so radically negative.

What about just having a balance of being hopeful yet realistic.

I don't think anyone is being negative on here ? I think everyone is just being realistic and it comes off as negative because it's not what everyone wants to hear. Being hopeful is fine but that shouldn't stop people from being a realist and not getting their hopes up. What storm said was truthful so I don't see anything wrong with his post. I rather see a bunch of posts being realistic what the models are showing then 1000 posts of wishcasting.

Do I think we will see snow this year ? I do.
Do I think some people will be let down ? I certainly see that. As it stands we could have a window for the end of December it's how the models roll back and forth

[Catnip]

https://twitter.com/wx_washington/statu ... 17312?s=20

[Flakey]

Well Jr. It's all good enjoy the holiday's we all need it after the year we've been through. It's just weather and weather will do what it wants. Stay positive and believe. Peace!

Love the It's just weather and weather will do what it wants. After years of riding the ups and downs I just take it as it comes. All the best to all the weather nuts out there.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Nito really needs to get an account on the American forum. He’d drive it even more bonkers than it already is with his warm bias.