November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

But realistically, there was never any chance of serious cold on the BC coast in the believable range. There were a few clown range GFS runs that showed it here and there but that's it.
Last edited by AbbyJr on Sun Nov 03, 2019 2:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sun Nov 03, 2019 10:04 am I remember hearing moaning and winter cancels toward the end of Nov that year.
December 2008 was awesome. :D
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Antares wrote: ↑Sun Nov 03, 2019 9:32 am I'm pretty sure there were other cold Oct/warm Nov/cold Dec or Jan years out there.

Or just warm Nov followed by a good winter. Not saying it'll happen this year though but I'm getting my hopes pretty high right now. :relaxedos:
I know. Just having some fun. :lol:

FWIW, I do think there's a good chance we do break our January curse this season.
Last edited by Typeing3 on Sun Nov 03, 2019 1:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sun Nov 03, 2019 11:53 am December 2008 was awesome. :D
Why what happened?
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

John wrote: ↑Sun Nov 03, 2019 1:06 pm Why what happened?
It snowed and colded. AT THE SAME TIME! :woo:
Last edited by Monty on Sun Nov 03, 2019 3:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Anybody here with a WeatherModels account (Ryan Maues) site and finding the CMC 500 MB Height Anomaly maps are not rendering properly? All I get is a pink screen with the isobars. The ridges and troughs are not showing on any of the hours or runs.

I've tried to contact Ryan about this on Twitter but have not heard back.

Here's an example of the issue:
cmc500mb.png
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

#december :thumbup:

https://twitter.com/bigjoebastardi/stat ... 94240?s=21
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Dry first half of the month likely. GFS showing only 40-50mm for the lower mainland thru the 18th.
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Sun Nov 03, 2019 8:09 am Can you guys remember about the 'cold' shown on GFS for early November a few days ago? :lol:

Someone here told me I was negative... Well, no. I just don't get excited 10 or 15 days before...

In Vancouver, this is the 9th consecutive day without rain, which is pretty remarkable in this season.


MT8_Vancouver_Kanada_ens.png
Ya i call it 48 hour rule Big Burd. I also said it was dry..u copying the Predator??? :dunno:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Well obvi we wont have a cold Oct..then cold November as well... as we encounter our coldest winter IN 50 YEARS and get hammered with cold and snow from approx Early Dec to mid Jan this year :clap: :clap:
8-)
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Hawk wrote: ↑Sun Nov 03, 2019 6:00 pm Well obvi we wont have a cold Oct..then cold November as well... as we encounter our coldest winter IN 50 YEARS and get hammered with cold and snow from approx Early Dec to mid Jan this year :clap: :clap:
8-)
It’s true
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Sun Nov 03, 2019 9:52 am Warm Nov. followed by cold Dec.:

2016
1949
2008
1983
1944
1990
2009
December 1944 averaged 2.9C at YVR...wouldn't necessarily call that cold.
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 03, 2019 6:30 pm December 1944 averaged 2.9C at YVR...wouldn't necessarily call that cold.
Ya, it's only 0.7C below average. I have hesitated. :problem:
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Sun Nov 03, 2019 6:37 pm Ya, it's only 0.7C below average. I have hesitated. :problem:
More on warm Nov/cold Dec combos:

Going off earlier years...I'd also add 1908 and 1932 to that list.
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Sun Nov 03, 2019 9:40 am Excepted 1949, I found 1984 only.
1908-09 and 1928-29 also featured a cool October/warm Nov/cold Jan pattern.
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