November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

Frequently see people on the american forum claiming their location has the longest cold or snow drought in the PNW. Relative to average, I'd say YVR is easily in first place.

[*] Stat 1: It has now been almost eight years since YVR last hit -10c.

[*] Stat 2: It has now been almost 18 years since YVR last hit -10c in January.

[*] Stat 3: YVR has had only two days with a high below -3c in the past 13 years.

[*] Stat 4: It has now been almost 14 years since YVR last recorded a daily snowfall over 20cm.

[*] Stat 5: Of the last 13 years, only one has exceeded the annual snowfall average at YVR.

[Weather101]

It is still unbelievable. Never thought I'd see something like that happen. Not only the magnitude of the heat but also the duration...

The duration and the lack of night time cooling.. Uncomfortable doesn’t even fit the description.

[Antares]

The duration and the lack of night time cooling.. Uncomfortable doesn’t even fit the description.

I remember one night when it finally cooled down to about 25C around 11pm. It felt so refreshing!

[Typeing3]

The duration and the lack of night time cooling.. Uncomfortable doesn’t even fit the description.

From a statistical standpoint, it was incredible. Nothing else in the period of record even comes close.

If we're looking for any type of equivalent to the late June 2021 heatwave in terms of cold, I'd say the only one would be the late Jan/early Feb 1893 arctic blast: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... me=Agassiz

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Frequently see people on the american forum claiming their location has the longest cold or snow drought in the PNW. Relative to average, I'd say YVR is easily in first place.

[*] Stat 1: It has now been almost eight years since YVR last hit -10c.

[*] Stat 2: It has now been almost 18 years since YVR last hit -10c in January.

[*] Stat 3: YVR has had only two days with a high below -3c in the past 13 years.

[*] Stat 4: It has now been almost 14 years since YVR last recorded a daily snowfall over 20cm.

[*] Stat 5: Of the last 13 years, only one has exceeded the annual snowfall average at YVR.

I’m now settled into my short-term rental for the month of November. Hopefully I can work the same sort of magic for Vancouver that I worked for Bellingham last February (got buried, while spots even 10 km to the north got mostly skunked, such was the location of the northern edge of the storm track). Of course, it will probably happen around the end of the month when I move into my long-term rental.

[stuffradio]

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-6999200.png

Don't encourage El Nito

[wetcoast91]

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-6999200.png

[AbbyJr]

From a statistical standpoint, it was incredible. Nothing else in the period of record even comes close.

If we're looking for any type of equivalent to the late June 2021 heatwave in terms of cold, I'd say the only one would be the late Jan/early Feb 1893 arctic blast: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... me=Agassiz

What about December 1968?

[AbbyJr]

Don't encourage El Nito

Ridging in November is a good sign for December. It will retrograde into the GOA and the trough will move over BC.

[Typeing3]

What about December 1968?

December '68 event was a step down from the 1893 event, which is most definitely the gold standard for arctic blasts around these parts.

I'd say the late December 1968 event was about on par, or even a slight step down from the the Jan 1909 event.

For reference...
Dec 1968: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 8&Month=12#
Jan 1909: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 09&Month=1#

[Typeing3]

Found this pic online a few days ago.

Taken on January 16, 1969 in the Renfrew-Collingwood neighbourhood of East Vancouver.

January 16, 1969. Renfrew-Collingwood Neighbourhood East Vancouver..JPG

[AbbyJr]

This is what we need in December or January.

That said, this could be another chance at a windstorm pattern.

https://twitter.com/joejoezz/status/145 ... 54594?s=20

[SouthSardiswx]

This is what we need in December or January.

That said, this could be another chance at a windstorm pattern.

https://twitter.com/joejoezz/status/145 ... 54594?s=20

Holy tamoli that's going to be insane.

[SouthSardiswx]

Found this pic online a few days ago.

Taken on January 16, 1969 in the Renfrew-Collingwood neighbourhood of East Vancouver.
January 16, 1969. Renfrew-Collingwood Neighbourhood East Vancouver..JPG

Is that a hearst.

[SouthSardiswx]

I’m now settled into my short-term rental for the month of November. Hopefully I can work the same sort of magic for Vancouver that I worked for Bellingham last February (got buried, while spots even 10 km to the north got mostly skunked, such was the location of the northern edge of the storm track). Of course, it will probably happen around the end of the month when I move into my long-term rental.

Welcome to the great wet north Rubes.