January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6596
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 557 times
Been thanked: 11428 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hound wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:03 pm At this point I just want 1 snow day. Just one damn snow day. We don't need a week of cold or whatever. Just 1 widespread snowfall of 10cm so everyone can be happy and then this winter can FRO.
Image
I set my expectations low for this winter, a 2017/18 repeat. Didn't think I was being overly optimistic at the time LOL. But yeah it is what it is, not the end of the world but definitely not the best year for a complete bust. Although there is still some time for redemption but I'm starting to think its going to happen in April like Nito keeps saying.
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6421
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14700 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

And the 18z GFS isn’t total garbage.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Nimbus2
Cloud Watcher
Cloud Watcher
Posts: 118
Joined: Wed Jan 13, 2021 6:18 pm
Location: Cowichan Bay
Elevation: 85
Has thanked: 252 times
Been thanked: 464 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Nimbus2 »

Quite a difference in two days! Don't trust models ten days out!!
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/ICOWICHA23

Author of 'Weather of British Columbia'
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6421
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14700 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

:lol:
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6421
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14700 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

18z vs. 12z
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5596
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 10313 times
Been thanked: 10079 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:39 pm:lol:
Outlier. It's over. I accept defeat. Winter cancel. The bears are about to wake up from hibernation. Time for a bike ride. :D :clap:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
Esquimalt39
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 161
Joined: Tue Nov 19, 2019 6:06 pm
Location: Esquimalt
Elevation: 6 feet
Has thanked: 13 times
Been thanked: 127 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:42 pm18z vs. 12z
Do you have snow maps for the 18Z? Looked very snowy for my area.
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4464
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 930 times
Been thanked: 9212 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Ohhhhhhh Shhhhhooooot. GFS Alert 🚨

Image
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6421
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14700 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Esquimalt39 wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:44 pm Do you have snow maps for the 18Z? Looked very snowy for my area.
Here’s a map of how much snow won’t actually fall.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12652
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22029 times
Been thanked: 24395 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Only 11 days away!
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_44.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
LadnerWeather
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 408
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:13 pm
Location: Tsawwassen
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 987 times
Been thanked: 1004 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

That is a huge block over the Arctic :shock: . And a nice SE ridge builds in as well :thumbup: . Let the model riding continue :D
Currently located in Tsawwassen, beside Tsawwassen Mills
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5596
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 10313 times
Been thanked: 10079 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:45 pm Ohhhhhhh Shhhhhooooot. GFS Alert 🚨

Image
This is how our winter has gone so far.

:progress:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 3908
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 22036 times
Been thanked: 7373 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:49 pm Here’s a map of how much snow won’t actually fall.
Ah, finally a model assessment that will verify this winter. :lol:
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5596
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 10313 times
Been thanked: 10079 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

18Z GFS scores backdoor. :clap:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
Flakey
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 214
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 6:28 pm
Location: Newton
Has thanked: 698 times
Been thanked: 668 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Flakey »

I've been too busy to read every post this year but has definitely been a very dull, gloomy winter even for a life long Lower Mainland resident. Quit following long range models years ago as got tired of telling people the cold/snow was coming only to end up with egg on my face when the opposite would happen. ( But thanks to all who post them ) Hopefully Feb gives us something but not holding out much hope at the moment as real cold hasn't even got very close to us.
Post Reply