January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7122
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 576 times
Been thanked: 12515 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hound wrote: ↑Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:03 pm At this point I just want 1 snow day. Just one damn snow day. We don't need a week of cold or whatever. Just 1 widespread snowfall of 10cm so everyone can be happy and then this winter can FRO.
Image
I set my expectations low for this winter, a 2017/18 repeat. Didn't think I was being overly optimistic at the time LOL. But yeah it is what it is, not the end of the world but definitely not the best year for a complete bust. Although there is still some time for redemption but I'm starting to think its going to happen in April like Nito keeps saying.
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6539
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4665 times
Been thanked: 15116 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

And the 18z GFS isn’t total garbage.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
Nimbus2
Cloud Watcher
Cloud Watcher
Posts: 118
Joined: Wed Jan 13, 2021 6:18 pm
Location: Cowichan Bay
Elevation: 85
Has thanked: 252 times
Been thanked: 464 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Nimbus2 »

Quite a difference in two days! Don't trust models ten days out!!
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/ICOWICHA23

Author of 'Weather of British Columbia'
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6539
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4665 times
Been thanked: 15116 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

:lol:
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6539
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4665 times
Been thanked: 15116 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

18z vs. 12z
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5992
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 11193 times
Been thanked: 11044 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:39 pm:lol:
Outlier. It's over. I accept defeat. Winter cancel. The bears are about to wake up from hibernation. Time for a bike ride. :D :clap:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
Top
Esquimalt39
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 161
Joined: Tue Nov 19, 2019 6:06 pm
Location: Esquimalt
Elevation: 6 feet
Has thanked: 13 times
Been thanked: 127 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:42 pm18z vs. 12z
Do you have snow maps for the 18Z? Looked very snowy for my area.
Top
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4575
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 959 times
Been thanked: 9576 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Ohhhhhhh Shhhhhooooot. GFS Alert 🚨

Image
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6539
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4665 times
Been thanked: 15116 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Esquimalt39 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:44 pm Do you have snow maps for the 18Z? Looked very snowy for my area.
Here’s a map of how much snow won’t actually fall.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 13173
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 23950 times
Been thanked: 25735 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Only 11 days away!
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_44.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
User avatar
LadnerWeather
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 418
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:13 pm
Location: Tsawwassen
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 1042 times
Been thanked: 1035 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

That is a huge block over the Arctic :shock: . And a nice SE ridge builds in as well :thumbup: . Let the model riding continue :D
Currently located in Tsawwassen, beside Tsawwassen Mills
Top
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5992
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 11193 times
Been thanked: 11044 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: ↑Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:45 pm Ohhhhhhh Shhhhhooooot. GFS Alert 🚨

Image
This is how our winter has gone so far.

:progress:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
Top
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 4001
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 22715 times
Been thanked: 7663 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:49 pm Here’s a map of how much snow won’t actually fall.
Ah, finally a model assessment that will verify this winter. :lol:
Top
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5992
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 11193 times
Been thanked: 11044 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

18Z GFS scores backdoor. :clap:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
Top
User avatar
Flakey
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 252
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 6:28 pm
Location: Newton
Has thanked: 883 times
Been thanked: 790 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Flakey »

I've been too busy to read every post this year but has definitely been a very dull, gloomy winter even for a life long Lower Mainland resident. Quit following long range models years ago as got tired of telling people the cold/snow was coming only to end up with egg on my face when the opposite would happen. ( But thanks to all who post them ) Hopefully Feb gives us something but not holding out much hope at the moment as real cold hasn't even got very close to us.
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Southern British Columbia - Weather Discussions”