February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Tue Feb 16, 2021 2:28 pm :roll:

gfs_z500a_namer_33.png
Coldest air goes....East of the Rocky's.

This run brings more snow for Puget Sound and dusty anus winds for the Valley.

Image
Last edited by wetcoast91 on Tue Feb 16, 2021 2:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Campbell River & Courtenay enjoying snow cover with sun. :(
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:think: :hmm: :dunno:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Feb 16, 2021 2:35 pm Coldest air goes....East of the Rocky's.

This run brings more snow for Puget Sound and dusty anus winds for the Valley.

Image
Is dusty anus winds your actual full name? You talk about them a lot..."Nito"
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Abby_wx wrote: Tue Feb 16, 2021 12:43 pm Doubtful... lack of moisture is lack of moisture. We may have seen slightly colder daytime highs, but otherwise the same pattern would deliver the same result in December.
For the most part I agree. That was not a pattern conducive to big snows over the South coast. However, some of the day time snow that fell on Sunday would have had an easier time to accumulate in the areas that did receive moisture had it been December/January.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hound wrote: Tue Feb 16, 2021 2:40 pm Campbell River & Courtenay enjoying snow cover with sun. :(
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At least we get to live in the...low...err.....nevermind.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Feb 16, 2021 2:44 pm :think: :hmm: :dunno:

ecmwf-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-4340800.png
Team grasping at straws here we goooo!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Abby_wx wrote: Tue Feb 16, 2021 2:08 pm I'm not sure if -25C is possible here, considering our all-time low is -21C. Just getting close to -20C would seem epic, though.
Highly improbable in our current climate, but it is possible as it has occured before in recorded history.

Pitt Meadows dipped to -23.3c in January 1969. It's already in a favourable location to maximize cold during the right setups (as we've seen from past records) and probably was sheltered from the outflow that night as other locations across the lower mainland didn't record readings that low.

Months like Jan 1862, Jan 1875, Jan/Feb 1893 or Jan 1909 likely dropped to nearly -25c in some locations across our region but unfortunately station data was very spotty back then.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Flakey »

Abby_wx wrote: Tue Feb 16, 2021 12:43 pm Doubtful... lack of moisture is lack of moisture. We may have seen slightly colder daytime highs, but otherwise the same pattern would deliver the same result in December.
I had moisture, little accumulations during the day Sunday until a couple of hours of more intense precip.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Feb 16, 2021 2:35 pm Coldest air goes....East of the Rocky's.

This run brings more snow for Puget Sound and dusty anus winds for the Valley.

Image
Because next won't be the same.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Before 2000, four years was the longest period Vancouver had ever gone without recording a temp below -10c.

Today, that record has nearly doubled as YVR now sits at nearly eight years without a single -10c reading. :?
Number of days per year with a temp below -10c in Vancouver history.PNG
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Flakey wrote: Tue Feb 16, 2021 3:18 pm I had moisture, little accumulations during the day Sunday until a couple of hours of more intense precip.
Ah, I only got 8.8 mm of precipitation over the last week. Many areas of the valley got even less (1.2mm in Agassiz).
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Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Flakey wrote: Tue Feb 16, 2021 10:51 am Sorry don't get all the whining about our climate. It is what it is, lived here my whole life and most snow events are marginal. Has it got worse, probably when you are always on the edge of snow/rain a slight difference in temp could push snow to rain. It would help if we could get the past weeks conditions in Dec instead of mid Feb but this seems to be the new norm. Yes our friend wetcoast likes to take his jabs but most of the time he is stating facts and betting on the favourite, climo. Looking forward to all the angry rants at the end of the month when historic models bust. :lol:
I think it's safe to say that most of the whiners are mainly on the weather forums. :lol: , 99.9999% of the South Coast residents are here for the mild winters and warm dry summers. People move here to escape the cold and snow. Unfortunately the trade off is an abundance of rain , and I'm sure most of you have had weather discussions with people where they say they would gladly take the rain over snow and respond with the same ad nauseam "well at least you don't have to shovel it". As much as I would like to see more snow, I can't see myself living anywhere else,meaning the White Rock/South Surrey area, less rain ;) . I guess those like Antares will have to :arrow: :arrow: move.

Speaking of moving , if anyone wants to move they better get crackin. Right now the housing market is hotter than Nito's +18° forecasts. I know of someone who just sold their Langley home for 1.2 mil , was asking in the $900,000 range. :shock: :shock: :shock:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Forrest Gump wrote: Tue Feb 16, 2021 4:53 pm Speaking of moving , if anyone wants to move they better get crackin. Right now the housing market is hotter than Nito's +18° forecasts. I know of someone who just sold their Langley home for 1.2 mil , was asking in the $900,000 range. :shock: :shock: :shock:
That's insane. I heard that the million dollar line went to Langley a couple years ago but I thought it retreated a bit.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Tue Feb 16, 2021 4:53 pmSpeaking of moving , if anyone wants to move they better get crackin. Right now the housing market is hotter than Nito's +18° forecasts. I know of someone who just sold their Langley home for 1.2 mil , was asking in the $900,000 range. :shock: :shock: :shock:
Not enough listings on the market, so the few that are on the market get bid up to ridiculous levels. There's still a lot of FOMO in the market, unfortunately. Hopefully we'll see things begin to settle down when the pent up demand from COVID peters out. Eventually, I think the work from home crowd is in for a rude awakening when their employers decide to call them back to the office because they're not being productive enough... lol.
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Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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