July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

PortKells wrote: Wed Jul 28, 2021 7:58 am ens_image.png
That's looking promising. It's so dry here I've started watering some of the big trees. The tops of many of the cedars are dying from multiple years of low water.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

Is it just me or are the geese heading north a bit early this year?

we've had 5-6 flights overhead these past 3 days, seems a bit soon :think: more importantly does this mean a colder winter in the south?

also on the topic of summer events predicting/not predicting winter events, when I worked at YVR in the 90's there was a bit of local/farmer's almanac belief that the number of foggy mornings at the airport is a predictor for local snowfall.
Have any of you heard of this?

I've never tracked it so have 0 idea if there is even casual correlation.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

moonshadow0825 wrote: Wed Jul 28, 2021 10:39 am Is it just me or are the geese heading north a bit early this year?

we've had 5-6 flights overhead these past 3 days, seems a bit soon :think: more importantly does this mean a colder winter in the south?

also on the topic of summer events predicting/not predicting winter events, when I worked at YVR in the 90's there was a bit of local/farmer's almanac belief that the number of foggy mornings at the airport is a predictor for local snowfall.
Have any of you heard of this?

I've never tracked it so have 0 idea if there is even casual correlation.
The Farmer's almanac is essentially on a level with a psychic telling you what your life will be. Guesses work out sometimes. The only possible connection I can see there is that SSTs off the coast leading to more fog, therefore potentially aiding with snowfall?
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Wed Jul 28, 2021 11:38 am The Farmer's almanac is essentially on a level with a psychic telling you what your life will be. Guesses work out sometimes. The only possible connection I can see there is that SSTs off the coast leading to more fog, therefore potentially aiding with snowfall?
:lol: spin the bottle too or spin the wheel if you don't like where it lands spin it again. :crazy: isnt the Halak signing just a Holtby 2.0? :? I dont like the Brian Sutter re up, injury prone.
:shock: wow Knucks pick up D man Tucker Poolman from the Jets.
I like our D this year.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Wed Jul 28, 2021 11:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

John wrote: Wed Jul 28, 2021 5:25 am No :thumbup: but would like some rain
O.k.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Weather101 wrote: Wed Jul 28, 2021 7:05 am Never thought I see the day of model riding for rain in the middle of the summer, But we need it desperately.
:shock: where have you been vacationing in the Similkameen, must be a bumper crop, it's not winter yet.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The Euro is around 10C warmer inland then at YVR for Friday and Saturday. I imagine the beaches will be busy. :sweat:
ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-7452000.png
ecmwf-deterministic-CWMM-daily_tmin_tmax-7452000.png
ecmwf-deterministic-CYVR-daily_tmin_tmax-7452000.png
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Jul 28, 2021 11:57 am The Euro is around 10C warmer inland then at YVR for Friday and Saturday. I imagine the beaches will be busy. :sweat:

ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-7452000.png

ecmwf-deterministic-CWMM-daily_tmin_tmax-7452000.png

ecmwf-deterministic-CYVR-daily_tmin_tmax-7452000.png
I wouldn't go Jr. man the Delta variant will be busy as well.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed Jul 28, 2021 12:00 pm I wouldn't go Jr. man the Delta variant will be busy as well.
The virus is significantly less likely to transmit outdoors than indoors from what I understand.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

moonshadow0825 wrote: Wed Jul 28, 2021 10:39 am Is it just me or are the geese heading north a bit early this year?

we've had 5-6 flights overhead these past 3 days, seems a bit soon :think: more importantly does this mean a colder winter in the south?

also on the topic of summer events predicting/not predicting winter events, when I worked at YVR in the 90's there was a bit of local/farmer's almanac belief that the number of foggy mornings at the airport is a predictor for local snowfall.
Have any of you heard of this?

I've never tracked it so have 0 idea if there is even casual correlation.
That's interesting. I work at YVR and haven't heard about that correlation. I'll have to keep track this fall/winter. :shock:
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z GFS was significantly drier for the coast compared to the 00Z. :thumbdown:

Still shows some rain for the interior though, so that is a plus.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The GEM looks great for the interior as long as there isn't too much lightning around.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z Euro is less bullish on precip overall.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Bonovox wrote: Wed Jul 28, 2021 12:10 pm That's interesting. I work at YVR and haven't heard about that correlation. I'll have to keep track this fall/winter. :shock:
Well Bones your better off watching slugs to see if there's any correlation for cold in winter.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed Jul 28, 2021 12:25 pm Well Bones your better off watching slugs to see if there's any correlation for cold in winter.
John doesn't like me calling you B****man so you've got a new nickname.
Haha you can call me whatever you want. I don't mind.
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