January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Parallel still showing some below normal weather in the extended.
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Cdn Ens
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

EPS
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

It seems like the trend from today's models is to pump an SE ridge. Let's wait to see what El Nito thinks.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

stuffradio wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 12:00 pm It seems like the trend from today's models is to pump an SE ridge. Let's wait to see what El Nito thinks.
Perhaps Monty could be correct in his false start assessment?

:dunno:
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 11:55 am EPS

1.png
And that’s why you don’t throw in the towel at the first sign of trouble. The GFS always does false starts with pattern changes.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

stuffradio wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 12:00 pm It seems like the trend from today's models is to pump an SE ridge. Let's wait to see what El Nito thinks.
No way he posts about these trends.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 12:07 pm No way he posts about these trends.
You can chase rabbits or sit down and patiently wait.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Come to think of it, I think #beginningofFEB last year had some false starts?

:think: :think:
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 12:12 pm You can chase rabbits or sit down and patiently wait.
rabbitpineapple.jpg
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 8:16 am Nitos killing it and sticking us with pineapples all winter. Yes 3/4 cold Feb with Decembers and Jan that suck. Yup climate is messed up alright. I'm sorry..but once Feb hits I'm looking forward to spring. Snow in Feb is on a very short lease with nothing to look forward to except days where it hits 14c in the sunshine. I cant wait!
This has aged well.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Temperature anomaly outlook produced by ECMWF for Jan 25 to Feb 1.
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 10:49 am EPS looked a lot better last night while the GEFS has trended worse. Personally, I'd rather have the EPS on our side anyways.

Not to mention, the models are still trying to work out the upcoming pattern change. I think a colder pattern the last week of January into early February is a good bet, but the exact timing, how cold, and whether or not its favourable for sea level snow remains to be seen.
EPS starts to get interesting near the end of week 2. And it is the best tool we have at that range
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Extended GEFS looks nice!

C'MON!!!
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You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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