January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5975
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 11153 times
Been thanked: 11012 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 3:21 pm Thank goodness it’s just El Niño driving this and not something far more sinister.
No doubt. Wouldn't surprise me to see another major arctic blast next winter if we go into a La Niña/+QBO. At the very least, the ski hills should be fine assuming El Niño falls apart as most climate models are currently suggesting. Still far out but solid chance La Niña returns next winter. :thumbup: :wave:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 20948
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 55864 times
Been thanked: 18142 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 5:55 pm No doubt. Wouldn't surprise me to see another major arctic blast next winter if we go into a La Niña/+QBO. At the very least, the ski hills should be fine assuming El Niño falls apart as most climate models are currently suggesting. Still far out but solid chance La Niña returns next winter. :thumbup: :wave:
l believe you oh King Jr. Man you absolutely nailed this January blast like way back in Nov/Dec with your absolutely insane SSW event prediction. :clap: :thumbup:
Join us next season for the 8th annual that's not accurate snowfall contest.

:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 15.0cm :king1: :bravo:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 3.5cm :(
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
tyweather
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1669
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:39 pm
Location: Newton, Surrey, EL. 70m
Has thanked: 73 times
Been thanked: 3801 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Glacier wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 11:11 am 59 degrees spread for Puntzi Mountain for the month with expected higher temperatures tomorrow. That's a new record for any month(records since 1969). Old record of 57.8 set in Nov 2005.

50.3 for Tatlayoko Lake with higher temperatures tomorrow. Highest monthly temperature swing since Jan 1943!
59.2c for Fort Nelson. -45.5c to 13.7c.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 20948
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 55864 times
Been thanked: 18142 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

tyweather wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 9:17 pm 59.2c for Fort Nelson. -45.5c to 13.7c.
l don't know TClimate it appears ever since the 40's insanity of June 2021, we continue to break one record or another of varying degree it's rather spooky. IMO
Join us next season for the 8th annual that's not accurate snowfall contest.

:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 15.0cm :king1: :bravo:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 3.5cm :(
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6618
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6529 times
Been thanked: 15251 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 3:21 pm Thank goodness it’s just El Niño driving this and not something far more sinister.
Yeah, I was worried we we were screwing up the globe. Now I can get back to idling my Toyota Tundra in the driveway and pointlessly drive around the place.

:14troll:
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 20948
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 55864 times
Been thanked: 18142 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 10:15 pm Yeah, I was worried we we were screwing up the globe. Now I can get back to idling my Toyota Tundra in the driveway and pointlessly drive around the place.

:14troll:
:lol: Goofneetzzzy.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Wed Jan 31, 2024 12:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
Join us next season for the 8th annual that's not accurate snowfall contest.

:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 15.0cm :king1: :bravo:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 3.5cm :(
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Canada Goose
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2394
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 12:41 pm
Location: Port Coquitlam (Downtown) - Banana Belt
Elevation: 11 m
Has thanked: 812 times
Been thanked: 5244 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

tyweather wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 9:17 pm 59.2c for Fort Nelson. -45.5c to 13.7c.
65.9°C in Keg Creek, AB.

Canadian all-time record is 70.2°C in Snag in Feb. 1947.

By the way, 21.1°C in Maple Creek today.
https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... rY4Qw&s=19
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 20948
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 55864 times
Been thanked: 18142 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Jan 29, 2024 9:52 pm Pond Inlet is by far the furthest north, so….
Yes you were correct Rubes, Pond Inlet your prize is absolutely zilch we are a low budget sloth forum. :wtf: :D
Join us next season for the 8th annual that's not accurate snowfall contest.

:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 15.0cm :king1: :bravo:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 3.5cm :(
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 20948
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 55864 times
Been thanked: 18142 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Wow! :o l thought last winter was very snowy this year is worst apparently.
Screenshot_20240131_044532_Chrome.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Join us next season for the 8th annual that's not accurate snowfall contest.

:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 15.0cm :king1: :bravo:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 3.5cm :(
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 13166
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 23857 times
Been thanked: 25721 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
0pz ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png



-------------------------------------------------------
20240131144217-9b730f9cb8e5ac2dab0ac4c70dcab9036050664d.png
20240131144204-f8bcc9bc018b2ac786b020b61e2dce08ba0a5a12.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 2612
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 4126 times
Been thanked: 6378 times
Contact:

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

In 1 week, we will probably start seeing daylight peak out at close to 7am. Sunrise will be roughly 7:30 AM by next Friday and I notice daylight roughly 20 minutes before sunrise.
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7119
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 576 times
Been thanked: 12509 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 10:15 pm Yeah, I was worried we we were screwing up the globe. Now I can get back to idling my Toyota Tundra in the driveway and pointlessly drive around the place.

:14troll:
Yep it’ll all go back to normal after El Niño, just like how it was normal during the La Niña of 2021 for example.
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 2612
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 4126 times
Been thanked: 6378 times
Contact:

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

La Nina
glbSSTMonInd6.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3910
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4157 times
Been thanked: 8296 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 10:15 pm Yeah, I was worried we we were screwing up the globe. Now I can get back to idling my Toyota Tundra in the driveway and pointlessly drive around the place.
Of all the models you could have gone for the Tundra is a truly troll choice for the name it bears :lol:
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 65 to 25 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 22 cm
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5975
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 11153 times
Been thanked: 11012 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 6:01 pm l believe you oh King Jr. Man you absolutely nailed this January blast like way back in Nov/Dec with your absolutely insane SSW event prediction. :clap: :thumbup:
Believe it or not, another SSW event is possible mid to late February. March 1951 repeat? :wish:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
Post Reply