January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 3:21 pm Thank goodness it’s just El Niño driving this and not something far more sinister.
No doubt. Wouldn't surprise me to see another major arctic blast next winter if we go into a La Niña/+QBO. At the very least, the ski hills should be fine assuming El Niño falls apart as most climate models are currently suggesting. Still far out but solid chance La Niña returns next winter. :thumbup: :wave:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 5:55 pm No doubt. Wouldn't surprise me to see another major arctic blast next winter if we go into a La Niña/+QBO. At the very least, the ski hills should be fine assuming El Niño falls apart as most climate models are currently suggesting. Still far out but solid chance La Niña returns next winter. :thumbup: :wave:
l believe you oh King Jr. Man you absolutely nailed this January blast like way back in Nov/Dec with your absolutely insane SSW event prediction. :clap: :thumbup:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Glacier wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 11:11 am 59 degrees spread for Puntzi Mountain for the month with expected higher temperatures tomorrow. That's a new record for any month(records since 1969). Old record of 57.8 set in Nov 2005.

50.3 for Tatlayoko Lake with higher temperatures tomorrow. Highest monthly temperature swing since Jan 1943!
59.2c for Fort Nelson. -45.5c to 13.7c.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

tyweather wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 9:17 pm 59.2c for Fort Nelson. -45.5c to 13.7c.
l don't know TClimate it appears ever since the 40's insanity of June 2021, we continue to break one record or another of varying degree it's rather spooky. IMO
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 3:21 pm Thank goodness it’s just El Niño driving this and not something far more sinister.
Yeah, I was worried we we were screwing up the globe. Now I can get back to idling my Toyota Tundra in the driveway and pointlessly drive around the place.

:14troll:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 10:15 pm Yeah, I was worried we we were screwing up the globe. Now I can get back to idling my Toyota Tundra in the driveway and pointlessly drive around the place.

:14troll:
:lol: Goofneetzzzy.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Wed Jan 31, 2024 12:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

tyweather wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 9:17 pm 59.2c for Fort Nelson. -45.5c to 13.7c.
65.9°C in Keg Creek, AB.

Canadian all-time record is 70.2°C in Snag in Feb. 1947.

By the way, 21.1°C in Maple Creek today.
https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... rY4Qw&s=19
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Jan 29, 2024 9:52 pm Pond Inlet is by far the furthest north, so….
Yes you were correct Rubes, Pond Inlet your prize is absolutely zilch we are a low budget sloth forum. :wtf: :D
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Wow! :o l thought last winter was very snowy this year is worst apparently.
Screenshot_20240131_044532_Chrome.jpg
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
0pz ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png



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20240131144217-9b730f9cb8e5ac2dab0ac4c70dcab9036050664d.png
20240131144204-f8bcc9bc018b2ac786b020b61e2dce08ba0a5a12.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

In 1 week, we will probably start seeing daylight peak out at close to 7am. Sunrise will be roughly 7:30 AM by next Friday and I notice daylight roughly 20 minutes before sunrise.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 10:15 pm Yeah, I was worried we we were screwing up the globe. Now I can get back to idling my Toyota Tundra in the driveway and pointlessly drive around the place.

:14troll:
Yep it’ll all go back to normal after El Niño, just like how it was normal during the La Niña of 2021 for example.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

La Nina
glbSSTMonInd6.png
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 10:15 pm Yeah, I was worried we we were screwing up the globe. Now I can get back to idling my Toyota Tundra in the driveway and pointlessly drive around the place.
Of all the models you could have gone for the Tundra is a truly troll choice for the name it bears :lol:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Jan 30, 2024 6:01 pm l believe you oh King Jr. Man you absolutely nailed this January blast like way back in Nov/Dec with your absolutely insane SSW event prediction. :clap: :thumbup:
Believe it or not, another SSW event is possible mid to late February. March 1951 repeat? :wish:
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