December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5643
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 10415 times
Been thanked: 10168 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Our reporter “Abbyjr” live on the scene. Asking the tough questions.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: Wed Dec 04, 2019 9:38 pm Retro

727F9983-2634-4C7C-86DD-0626B25167AF.png
Perhaps a Christmas miracle
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Forrest Gump
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4471
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:11 pm
Location: South Surrey/White Rock
Elevation: 377 Ft. or 115 M
Has thanked: 12477 times
Been thanked: 8212 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Monty wrote: Wed Dec 04, 2019 10:28 pm Our reporter “Abbyjr” live on the scene. Asking the tough questions.
Nice to see in recent weeks that you're not always Captain Serious. :thumbup:
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5643
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 10415 times
Been thanked: 10168 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

CMC Ensemble is wetter than the operational:
cmc-ensemble-all-avg-nw-total_precip_mm-5849600.png
gem-all-nw-total_precip_mm-5849600.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12756
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22246 times
Been thanked: 24619 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Dec 04, 2019 9:38 pm Retro

727F9983-2634-4C7C-86DD-0626B25167AF.png
#EndOfDecember

:gramps: :gramps: :gramps:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5643
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 10415 times
Been thanked: 10168 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Dec 04, 2019 10:55 pm #EndOfDecember

:gramps: :gramps: :gramps:
Thats what the Euro weeklies are going for but I don't know how reliable they are... :? :?:

Lets hope the GEFS keeps the retro trend.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Dec 04, 2019 11:04 pm Thats what the Euro weeklies are going for but I don't know how reliable they are... :? :?:

Lets hope the GEFS keeps the retro trend.
The weeklies are about as reliable as any other long range forecast. Not very. They are also more likely to be wrong if there is a big pattern change of atmospheric shake up. They tend to lean towards pattern persistence, or that’s how it seems to me.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19638
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53418 times
Been thanked: 16761 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Catnip wrote: Wed Dec 04, 2019 9:52 pm Time to rekindle the friendship.

25A04805-7333-4654-A851-DBA32ABB3F21.jpeg
:lol: looks more like Hawkie is about to take a massive dump on Flamingo kid.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7022
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12848 times
Been thanked: 6524 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Well said Jay. Looking at models past a few days is pointless! :clap: :clap: but we all know this :thumbup:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7022
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12848 times
Been thanked: 6524 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Plus Jay says...dont bet on winter here. Does he mean this area? Like every year? Like forever? :cry: :cry:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7022
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12848 times
Been thanked: 6524 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Hey big mouth Bass
.where are you? :lol: :lol:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19638
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53418 times
Been thanked: 16761 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Hawk wrote: Thu Dec 05, 2019 2:28 am Hey big mouth Bass
.where are you? :lol: :lol:
Yes l'm here Flapjack, go back to bird school and learn. :think: Jay Al says don't rely on long range models it can all change within afew days like in Feb. Also he meant he wouldn't bet on anything here as in what he says on his Twit account so he's not predicting just means anything is possible. :geek:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19638
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53418 times
Been thanked: 16761 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

He really didn't say what we already know come to think of it. :roll:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7022
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12848 times
Been thanked: 6524 times

Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Thu Dec 05, 2019 5:49 am Yes l'm here Flapjack, go back to bird school and learn. :think: Jay Al says don't rely on long range models it can all change within afew days like in Feb. Also he meant he wouldn't bet on anything here as in what he says on his Twit account so he's not predicting just means anything is possible. :geek:
Ok thanks Tips..
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Post Reply