January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Jan 26, 2021 3:55 pm Remember the last one in the models went too far west. I think Climo might have something to say about an east blast.
The positive sign is that models at least have legit arctic air in North America now. Where it goes is the question. Still time for it to trend west again.

I think odds are better for us than typical climo this time around given we are moving into a phase 7 MJO in a -ENSO/+QBO.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Out of curiosity why are some of you saying tonight looks better, other than the EC snowfall warning jinx?
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Bonovox
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Tue Jan 26, 2021 6:06 pm Out of curiosity why are some of you saying tonight looks better, other than the EC snowfall warning jinx?
For one I think there will be much better evaporative cooling. The outflow also appears to be enhanced. And the timing where solar won’t be an issue.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Apparently some lower elevations of the northern sacremento valley could see up to a foot of snow....all while we see rain.

Maybe we should all move there? :lol:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z NAM shows periods of light snow beginning at around 11pm for extreme southern sections of the lower mainland...gradually covers the entire region by 2am. Slight pause in precip around 4/5am before another band moves into the region with a mix/rain for sea level and light snow for higher elevations. Most precip moderates and turns to showers by 10am before the band moves out of the region.

2am:
nam3km_ref_frzn_nwus_10.png
6am:
nam3km_ref_frzn_nwus_14.png
10am:
nam3km_ref_frzn_nwus_18.png
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

S and W sections west of Langley could pick up a couple cm. Looks pretty dry or mostly wet for the valley along with N metro van east of coquitlam.
wa_snow48.48.0000.gif
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

00z 3km NAM.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Currently 3.8c, dp -0.5c here.

All ready for the cold rain later tonight. :dance:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 26, 2021 6:33 pm Currently 3.8c, dp -0.5c here.

All ready for the cold rain later tonight. :dance:
3.4

-3.6dp
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 26, 2021 6:33 pm Currently 3.8c, dp -0.5c here.

All ready for the cold rain later tonight. :dance:
Bon Dylan said it best,

"And its a cold, and it's a cold, its a cold and its a co-ld
Its a cold rains gonna' fall."
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

You are guys all wrong, my phone app has it right. 4-8 cm. POSSIBLE
Screenshot_20210126-185425_MyRadar.jpg
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Temps are falling with dews staying put at YVR even with cloud cover :think: :think:
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Radar looks intense right over Montys house :shock: :shock:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Virga in Armpitsford.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Heavy 254 »

Looks pretty dry. my goofy little machine says 55% Humidity and 5 degrees
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