August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Mon Aug 05, 2024 8:27 pm A lovely little cell just rolled through Kelowna. Dropped 3-5mm I’d say. One flash, no audible thunder.
The little cell that could hey Kells. :storm: we reached a high of 28.4c @ the pond in south Sardis today. :D
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



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20240806134334-a679e0f4d267d50a019567a129cfebc4d6146b04.png
20240806134318-44aad604f374f85c9c24d3fbc6e3b6e153ea2131.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 6:45 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png


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20240806134334-a679e0f4d267d50a019567a129cfebc4d6146b04.png
20240806134318-44aad604f374f85c9c24d3fbc6e3b6e153ea2131.png
Beautiful if it verifies..this puts us towards September with no more real heat to deal with. The potential for heatwaves just got killed. Yessss :clap: :clap:
Happy August summer weather :wave:
Tell em Bono!! 8-)
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

EC has one day above 30c in Abby this week (31c), with each day getting cloudier and wetter as the week goes on :clap: :clap:
Today, a forecast High of only 24c under mixed skies. Beautiful marine push overnight..Langley is 100% cloud covered. Quite cool again this morning too :thumbup:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Really pleasant cool morning. Temperature is barely budging.. just 14.8C after a low of 14.1C.

I reached 27.4C yesterday.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 8:10 am Beautiful if it verifies..this puts us towards September with no more real heat to deal with. The potential for heatwaves just got killed. Yessss :clap: :clap:
Happy August summer weather :wave:
Tell em Bono!! 8-)
If those rain bumps can grow taller even better! It’s been another hot summer, time for some balance.
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

What a refreshing surprise overnight. Temps cooled here to 14 as well. Now at 11:10 am it's only 16 under cloudy skies. Feels so nice!
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

PortKells wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 10:35 am If those rain bumps can grow taller even better! It’s been another hot summer, time for some balance.
Only 11 days until the PNE. Will we see the PNE rains return? ;)
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:alert:

:think: :think:
Screenshot 2024-08-06 at 12-40-57 BAM Weather (BAMWX) on X Looking into #ENSO evolution analogs for the upcoming Fall season &amp for entertainment purposes a glance into Winter... The only 3 years tracking with this y[...].png
GUTMCKDXwAADlvC.jpg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Catnip wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 12:41 pm :alert:

:think: :think:

Screenshot 2024-08-06 at 12-40-57 BAM Weather (BAMWX) on X Looking into #ENSO evolution analogs for the upcoming Fall season &amp for entertainment purposes a glance into Winter... The only 3 years tracking with this y[...].png

GUTMCKDXwAADlvC.jpg
Is it too early to brag to El Nito about this?
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 10:35 am If those rain bumps can grow taller even better! It’s been another hot summer, time for some balance.
Above average rainfall in July as well.
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 12:41 pm :alert:

:think: :think:

Screenshot 2024-08-06 at 12-40-57 BAM Weather (BAMWX) on X Looking into #ENSO evolution analogs for the upcoming Fall season &amp for entertainment purposes a glance into Winter... The only 3 years tracking with this y[...].png

GUTMCKDXwAADlvC.jpg
Woah. 1992-93 and 2016-17.

Persistent cold snaps with very long lasting snowcover.
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

stuffradio wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 1:07 pm Is it too early to brag to El Nito about this?
He’ll be here soon to cancel winter!

:wave: :wave:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 12:41 pm :alert:

:think: :think:

Screenshot 2024-08-06 at 12-40-57 BAM Weather (BAMWX) on X Looking into #ENSO evolution analogs for the upcoming Fall season &amp for entertainment purposes a glance into Winter... The only 3 years tracking with this y[...].png

GUTMCKDXwAADlvC.jpg
Lock it in! :clap: :D :wave:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Thursday evening still looking extremely humid for the Fraser Valley on the 12Z Euro. Dew point rises to 22C. :sick: Map valid for 7:00PM PDT:

xx_model-en-196-0_modez_2024080612_62_17460_1.png
xx_model-en-196-0_modez_2024080612_62_17460_53.png
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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