September Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Sep 05, 2021 12:26 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (12).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (13).png
:clap: :clap:
#TeamBono :wave:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sun Sep 05, 2021 11:05 am Well yeah, I wouldn't change things either if I was the 3 time Captain Underpants Winter Classic reigning champion.

I've gotta try something to break you, the answer is out there somewhere.
I think the answer's right there, you're not trying hard enough, you need to get more sleep (sleep in late), eat a more varied diet (diet Pepsi have ketchup Doritos, timbits, DQ caramel banana splts,) and don't forget the mental aspect, learn from the best (binge watching X files on Netflix). I've heard it's a winning combination! :lol: :lol:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Sun Sep 05, 2021 5:56 pm :clap: :clap:
#TeamBono :wave:
Pattern lock?

#TAT
:typing: :type3:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Sun Sep 05, 2021 6:06 pm I think the answer's right there, you're not trying hard enough, you need to get more sleep (sleep in late), eat a more varied diet (diet Pepsi have ketchup Doritos, timbits, DQ caramel banana splts,) and don't forget the mental aspect, learn from the best (binge watching X files on Netflix). I've heard it's a winning combination! :lol: :lol:
For a little while there I thought it went over your head but it's me who has egg on his face, I got the x files catch phrase wrong, should have been The Truth is Out There. Speaking of I might have to try this new place on White Rock Beach
20210905_184927.jpg
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sun Sep 05, 2021 11:05 am Well yeah, I wouldn't change things either if I was the 3 time Captain Underpants Winter Classic reigning champion.

I've gotta try something to break you, the answer is out there somewhere.
Beer could be the answer sir Gimpy.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 2:28 pm And that fault is now due for an Mw 9.0 earthquake. Once the numbers get that large, the epicenter does not have to be that close for major damage to get done.
This is like saying that I haven't rolled a 6 in 5 tries so I'm due for a 6. Probabilities mean the odds of a 9 earthquake are the same whether it's been 2 years or 2000 years since the last big one. Speaking of which, there have been five 9.0 or greater quakes in the past 120 years, 3 in the 1950s and 1960s and 2 in the past 20 years.

The are 10s of thousands of km of fault lines on earth, so extremely rare we'd have one anywhere of the BC coast in our lifetime. Even at that the major fault line is 500km off the coast.

Tsunamis can certainly be a problem for places like port Alberni
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Sep 05, 2021 6:07 pm Pattern lock?

#TAT
Yes it's looking that could be a possibility. Only time will tell. I would prefer a variable September with seasonal Temps and then a chillier second half of October and November to get the snow season off to a good start :thumbup:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Mon Sep 06, 2021 8:23 am Yes it's looking that could be a possibility. Only time will tell. I would prefer a variable September with seasonal Temps and then a chillier second half of October and November to get the snow season off to a good start :thumbup:
Kind of like 2016. Seasonal September, chilly and wet fall but then a warm stretch right before the big December 4 blast that was on and off for 6 weeks. I would love another winter like that one.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Glacier wrote: Mon Sep 06, 2021 5:15 am This is like saying that I haven't rolled a 6 in 5 tries so I'm due for a 6. Probabilities mean the odds of a 9 earthquake are the same whether it's been 2 years or 2000 years since the last big one. Speaking of which, there have been five 9.0 or greater quakes in the past 120 years, 3 in the 1950s and 1960s and 2 in the past 20 years.

The are 10s of thousands of km of fault lines on earth, so extremely rare we'd have one anywhere of the BC coast in our lifetime. Even at that the major fault line is 500km off the coast.

Tsunamis can certainly be a problem for places like port Alberni
Interesting. I've only recently gotten interested in earthquakes and seismology, and have often wondered what the ramifications would be of a 9.0 megathrust earthquake on a fault so far from Metro Vancouver. Various maps and simulations that are around have mostly been focused on Washington and Oregon state, but through extrapolation they usually show the intensity as 7.0-7.5 over much of Metro Vancouver.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

I have a new fully updated forum here http://137.184.12.223/. This will eventually be the NEW home for the website. Currently I don't have a domain name pointing to it and I will be figuring out how to get all the current content on that website. :)

NOTE: I will use the same domain name to go there so you don't have to worry about remembering a new domain name.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

stuffradio wrote: Mon Sep 06, 2021 3:52 pm I have a new fully updated forum here http://137.184.12.223/. This will eventually be the NEW home for the website. Currently I don't have a domain name pointing to it and I will be figuring out how to get all the current content on that website. :)

NOTE: I will use the same domain name to go there so you don't have to worry about remembering a new domain name.
Thanks Stuffy. Is it going to have SSL?
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Sep 06, 2021 7:31 pm Thanks Stuffy. Is it going to have SSL?
What's an SSL Jr. man? Snow sensor line. :lol:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

stuffradio wrote: Mon Sep 06, 2021 3:52 pm I have a new fully updated forum here http://137.184.12.223/. This will eventually be the NEW home for the website. Currently I don't have a domain name pointing to it and I will be figuring out how to get all the current content on that website. :)

NOTE: I will use the same domain name to go there so you don't have to worry about remembering a new domain name.
l have trouble remembering my name. :lol:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Heard on NW news USGS falsely recorded a 6.5M earthquake in B.C. this afternoon.
It's been removed from their website, there was no quake in B.C.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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