November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Nov 20, 2024 9:21 pm Fantastic model trends. 00z GFS run suggests we are going to be in an extended dry spell as a massive ridge builds over us. Cold stays in Eastern Canada! :thumbup:

Likely means we can keep mowing through mid December :wave:
but i thought you said GFS sucks yesterday Nito? It's not bad and sometimes shows the trends that we end up getting eventually. But we dont want ridging rn so this is the time GFS will prolly be wrong again :think:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (7).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (8).png



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20241121144126-0ac5b46b7e4319e4e1822cd4a8a8a453bfeaf817.png
20241121144101-640627aa9624d652d1649502bdbdfee45a9ca34d.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Nov 20, 2024 11:13 pm Good pattern to rack up our freeze/frost counts! :thumbup:
I have seen frosts and flakes, but no freeze yet.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Nov 21, 2024 7:37 am I have seen frosts and flakes, but no freeze yet.
12Z GFS has some pretty chilly low level cold. This ridge looks super strong and locked into place on this run.

:mow:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SWS for Friday winds...
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Look Neetz.. a warm Christmas for all!
cfs_t2m_anom_20E_northamerica_2024112106_141.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Screenshot 2024-11-21 at 11-37-46 Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) on X A #NOAA20 satellite image captured on Nov. 20 2024 reveals a powerful mid-latitude cyclone churning off the western coast of the United States and Can[...].png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Only 7 days until we are losing 2 minutes or less of light.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Thu Nov 21, 2024 11:32 am Look Neetz.. a warm Christmas for all!

cfs_t2m_anom_20E_northamerica_2024112106_141.png
CFS continues to hint towards at a backloaded winter. :thumbup:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Latest seasonal outlook from the CPC was just updated today.

:dunno:
off01_temp.gif
off01_prcp.gif
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Nov 21, 2024 12:08 pm CFS continues to hint towards at a backloaded winter. :thumbup:
#FEB

Really hoping we score something in the 2nd half of Dec though!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Nov 21, 2024 12:08 pm CFS continues to hint towards at a backloaded winter. :thumbup:
That's what a classic La Nina is around here anyway, isn't it?
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Nov 21, 2024 6:42 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (7).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (8).png




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20241121144126-0ac5b46b7e4319e4e1822cd4a8a8a453bfeaf817.png
20241121144101-640627aa9624d652d1649502bdbdfee45a9ca34d.png
:think: :think: All 3 could be wrong too. Mid range..more troffing and chilly temps. Long range..who knows? Too much spread :roll:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Thu Nov 21, 2024 12:10 pm #FEB

Really hoping we score something in the 2nd half of Dec though!
Cold Januaries are the stuff of legend around these parts at this point. :lol:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Nov 21, 2024 1:25 pm Cold Januaries are the stuff of legend around these parts at this point. :lol:
Cold Novembers are becoming more rare these days too.
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