November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

John wrote: ↑Tue Nov 21, 2023 7:57 am Best November weather we could ask for!
John! :wave:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (3).png



--------------------------------------------
20231122143643-3069bed9c0d0dd81e2deb128fb1ade44ca11813d.png
20231122143627-9583de3aea61de9fcb1428b37e8e61f0b4982e68.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 22, 2023 6:37 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (3).png




--------------------------------------------
20231122143643-3069bed9c0d0dd81e2deb128fb1ade44ca11813d.png
20231122143627-9583de3aea61de9fcb1428b37e8e61f0b4982e68.png
Ah man it keeps getting milder next thing you know shorts and tees Tpal, this reminds me of 2015/2016 just awful.
We received 2.7mm in the pond overnight :thumbdown: it's currently 7c @ the pond in south Sardis.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Euro holding tuff on bommy rains in the LR. Good thing its the LR. :roll:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: ↑Wed Nov 22, 2023 6:46 am Ah man it keeps getting milder next thing you know shorts and tees Tpal, this reminds me of 2015/2016 just awful.
We received 2.7mm in the pond overnight :thumbdown: it's currently 7c @ the pond in south Sardis.
Feels more like '76-77 so far especially with the dry spells.

That was an absolutely horrific winter, especially for the mountains. Top tier for sure.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 22, 2023 7:50 am Feels more like '76-77 so far especially with the dry spells.

That was an absolutely horrific winter, especially for the mountains. Top tier for sure.
Good memory Tsmart yeah l was in grade 12 that year l remember fondly just bare mountains in December did it get any better on the ski hills or was it just a complete write off? Actually this is similar to 76-77 ouch probably time to fork it soon.
yes 2015-16 at least the ski hills were open at Christmas l recall.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

How's this for an analog?

:think: :think:

(yes I know it wasn't an El Nito year)

:mrgreen:
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

I need the air to dry out. Think my lawn could use another mow!

:dancepine: :dance: :dancepine:
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 22, 2023 10:37 am I need the air to dry out. Think my lawn could use another mow!

:dancepine: :dance: :dancepine:
Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The ECMWF is showing a substantial weakening of the Polar Vortex in December. Maybe we can pull off a Sudden Stratospheric Warming this winter?

Let's set up a February 2019 pattern in January 2024. :clap: :D :wave: :wish:

nov2210hpazonalwindsecmwf.png
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: ↑Wed Nov 22, 2023 8:10 am Good memory Tsmart yeah l was in grade 12 that year l remember fondly just bare mountains in December did it get any better on the ski hills or was it just a complete write off? Actually this is similar to 76-77 ouch probably time to fork it soon.
yes 2015-16 at least the ski hills were open at Christmas l recall.
Yep, 1976-77 was a complete write off for the entire Pacific Northwest... 2014-15 was similar.

2015-16 ski season wasn't as bad as we had a decent spell of cool/wet weather in December 2015.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:dancepine:
:raindrip: :raindrip:
10-15.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Nov 22, 2023 1:14 pm :dancepine:
:raindrip: :raindrip:

10-15.png
Reset!

Move that pattern 1000km to the east and we'll be in business.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 22, 2023 1:19 pm Reset!

Move that pattern 1000km to the east and we'll be in business.
Notches!!

:arrow: :arrow: :arrow: :arrow: :arrow:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Nov 22, 2023 1:14 pm :dancepine:
:raindrip: :raindrip:

10-15.png
:hearteyes:
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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