January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Storm wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 9:53 pm Android
Screenshot_20240116_215243_Weather.jpg
Thank you...but only 21cms? :think: :think:
:bs:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Hawk wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 10:01 pm Thank you...but only 21cms? :think: :think:
:bs:
It actually changes with every update. :lol:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Snowman wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 9:55 pm Freezing rain just started here..
whoa..donutsford snow totals just got hacked down :shh:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
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Forrest Gump
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 9:58 pm Some of the mesoscale models were showing a brief hour or two of ZR before snow in the Eastern Valley.
Weird,never seen ZR pave the way for snow,only the other way around..isn't it -6 on grouse?
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Forrest Gump wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 10:03 pm Weird,never seen ZR pave the way for snow,only the other way around..isn't it -6 on grouse?
There's a warm tongue near US border that gets rapidly wiped out by precip rates and outflow
Last edited by VanCitySouth on Tue Jan 16, 2024 10:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Just started snowing on Grouse
Screenshot_20240116_220533_Chrome.jpg
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Storm wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 10:01 pm It actually changes with every update. :lol:
Models are having trouble even in the short range. I like the scribe nowcast on SpotWX. Here's a quote on how it works from the website FAQ:
The Nowcast is another product specific to Environment Canada. It was developed to assist forecasters when producing the public forecast. The Nowcast relies on recent observed weather (surface, lightning and radar data) to extrapolate 12 hours into the future. As it doesn't use the Numerical Models as an input, the Nowcast is seen as an independent source for verification. In fact, it is often more accurate than the SCRIBE data for short-term forecasting. Nowcast locations are usually the same as the SCRIBE points, but not always.
Pros: Updated hourly, and forecasts ahead in 1 hour intervals. Often more accurate than the SCRIBE data for the short term (1-6 hours).

Cons: Only forecasts 12 hours ahead. Like SCRIBE, it's only available at set locations. As it doesn't reference the model data, the Nowcast can easily miss developing systems and rapid changes. Always reference the Nowcast against another product.
And here is a link to SpotWX: https://spotwx.com
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

VanCitySouth wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 10:06 pm There's a warm tongue near US border that gets rapidly wiped out by precip rates and outflow
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

VanCitySouth wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 10:06 pm There's a warm tongue near US border that gets rapidly wiped out by precip rates and outflow
Well,regardless,....I got flurries!!

Can I get a standing ovation?...or a slow clap?
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Storm wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 10:06 pm Just started snowing on Grouse Screenshot_20240116_220533_Chrome.jpg
Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Forrest Gump wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 10:09 pm Well,regardless,....I got flurries!!

Can I get a standing ovation?...or a slow clap?
Image
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Catnip wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 10:10 pm Image
From that cam you can see the ceiling drop in real.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Forrest Gump wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 10:09 pm Well,regardless,....I got flurries!!

Can I get a standing ovation?...or a slow clap?
Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

As if 3 kids weren't enough, we just got a 9 week old puppy. I can't wait to play in the snow with all of them tomorrow.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Storm wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 10:11 pm From that cam you can see the ceiling drop in real.
Ya, it’s a cool shot. I watched it the other day when the Arctic front arrived.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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