February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Roberts Creeker]

I'm coming over with BIG marshmallows!

I'll have to try that, I've never roasted marshmallows in mine but I've cooked in it, pushed the coals to one side and put a small tray in the other. Salmon and pork chops are fantastic with the smoke flavour. Just heading out to stock up on cat food and marshmallows now. EC is calling for light snow but...

Nice stove Monty. I have a Quadra Fire but looked at the Regency's also.

[Hound]

Just took a look around Oregon on webcams and they haven't got much snow out of the last day it's been falling. Many places looked wet as in possible rain. I wonder if they are bummed out about that on the AF.

As for us, I was just thinking about how previous years snow failed because the lows ended up trending too far north, yet was not forecast that way. What if this happens again? Except this time we would be in the perfect spot. I mean it's possible.. If it busts that way for us many times in the past, this may turn out to be a score!

[Granddaddyp2233]

What time is precipitation supposed to arrive?

[Typeing3]

https://mobile.twitter.com/50ShadesofVa ... 9010155523
https://mobile.twitter.com/ScottSKOMO/s ... 7264592899

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

What time is precipitation supposed to arrive?

Sometime tomorrow morning (anywhere from the wee hours to after daybreak). It’s coming in from the south, so the further south you are, the earlier you will see it.

[AbbyJr]

Maybe Jr will finally get that March 1951 repeat he's wanted.

This was the 500mb pattern on March 5th 1951. I highly doubt we see a repeat unfortunately.

march5th1951.gif

[Catnip]

HRRR says screw you guys, I'm on #teamNITO

hrrr.png

[Catnip]

Precip starts around midnight/1am.

Might take a while for it to fall though ---> DRY.

1.png

2.png

3.png

4.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

HRRR says screw you guys, I'm on #teamNITO

hrrr.png

Concerning, since that’s generally a very accurate short-range model.

[VanCitySouth]

Concerning, since that’s generally a very accurate short-range model.

Not too late for a second, actual, last minute rug pull

[PortKells]

Concerning, since that’s generally a very accurate short-range model.

Seems out of line with almost everything. Its times like this I feel bad for professional forecasters in this region. Try explaining to the public that we are getting between 0 and 25cm only a day out.

[AbbyJr]

Another contest.

https://twitter.com/BCWeather101/status ... 52771?s=20

[PortKells]

Not too late for a second, actual, last minute rug pull

Eh, this rug was already 6 hours old. We needed a new one anyways.

[NoahG]

anyone have the weatherbell/weather models.com nam3k map?

[Storm]

Concerning, since that’s generally a very accurate short-range model.

HRRR isn't exactly a Benchmark model outside 6 hours.