January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 3:56 pm Seeing Hope at -2C at 3pm in a sunny afternoon without a deep arctic airmass is unreal. Looks encouraging for the Valley.

Models seem to indicate a stronger offshore surface flow tomorrow which could mean more snow than rain at SL.
I miss this Nito.......

:cry: :cry: :( :(
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

I see precip over point roberts.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 7:00 pm It is just so borderline. So any changes in surface, 925mb & 850mb temperatures, outflow and precip intensity is having a huge impact on accumulations. This one will be a nowcast.
I think we revert back to the now cast disclaimer 9 out of 10 snow events.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 9:00 pm I see precip over point roberts.
Thanks for the report.

#SardineCast
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Monty
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:13 pm Local ski hills are sitting around -5 this evening. :think:
Plenty cold enough. Precip intensity seems a bit more problematic at this point for much of the lower mainland
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Lisa0527 »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 9:00 pm I see precip over point roberts.
Should be hitting Richmond any minute and then North to me :) Will let you know if there’s snow, but feels too warm here.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:41 pm Look at that popcorn like development due west. Some atmospheric instability? :think:

Image

Some potential convective activity has been modeled behind the initial front.

Image
That is where our low is forming for tomorrow, hopefully!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:24 pm To be honest, while I do believe Nito's post towards WeatherPro went a little too far in terms of respectful joking, I also believe that WeatherPro at least somewhat had it coming. After all, just prior to Nito's comment, WeatherPro had said that he belongs in a mental institution and told us all not to listen to his forecasts.

So essentially, WeatherPro tells Nito he belongs in a mental institution and that we should ignore his forecasts.

Then Nito comes back and mocks his forecast as a joke. This offends WeatherPro and he threatens to close his account and stop posting.

Are we seriously turning into the American forums in terms of unnecessary drama?

By the way, I thought this short video would be relevant. :lol: :clap:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wbfz4zRjhGM
Great video! :clap:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 9:11 pm That is where our low is forming for tomorrow, hopefully!
If this is the case, then the models will likely get it wrong and it could easily over perform. :D :clap:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Granddaddyp2233 »

Snow in Richmond
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Granddaddyp2233 wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 9:18 pm Snow in Richmond
:O WONDERFUL NEWS
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

HREF total precip.
33EE6560-2866-4CC2-90DA-8A4D85EE3357.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canuck »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:24 pm To be honest, while I do believe Nito's post towards WeatherPro went a little too far in terms of respectful joking, I also believe that WeatherPro at least somewhat had it coming. After all, just prior to Nito's comment, WeatherPro had said that he belongs in a mental institution and told us all not to listen to his forecasts.

So essentially, WeatherPro tells Nito he belongs in a mental institution and that we should ignore his forecasts.

Then Nito comes back and mocks his forecast as a joke. This offends WeatherPro and he threatens to close his account and stop posting.

Are we seriously turning into the American forums in terms of unnecessary drama?

By the way, I thought this short video would be relevant. :lol: :clap:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wbfz4zRjhGM

You are 100% correct. Weather Pro made an incredibly rude and confrontational comment to Nito, and then whined when Nito did much less in return. Classic example of being able to dish it but not take it. Gotta have much thicker skin than that.

Weather Pro's snow bias can be fun for sure, but I haven't noticed him be particularly accurate over the years.

P.S. my friend texted me to say it is 3 degrees and lightly raining in Ladner.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Leighbugs wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:48 pm It smells like snow outside. Sometimes people wonder what the heck I'm talking about when I say that. Maybe it's because I'm so in tune with the weather but I can smell seasons, if that makes sense. I know most people know what summer rain smells like, etc, but I can smell the most subtle changes in the air. Like, even a cloudy day has a smell but it differs depending on the time of year. Anyway, maybe it's weird? When I say I can smell February, or drizzle or even sunshine in November, people look at me like I'm nuts, including my own family. :lol: But it definitely smells like snow outside.
I can smell it to Leighbugs...I just don't tell anyone, people think I'm strange enough as it is :lol: :lol: I was thinking when I was outside at about 6pm that it didn't smell like snow but it felt like snow, that quiet, nothing is stirring feeling. I spend a lot of time outside and can smell rain coming in. I've never thought about smelling the different months/seasons but it is true, they do smell different.

Precip showing up over the Island on the radar: https://atmos.uw.edu/current-weather/northwest-radar/

Have warmed up to +0.2 from 0.0. I'll take my flashlight to bed so I can check out the window when I wake up in the middle of the night.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Heavy 254 »

Catnip wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:57 pm I miss this Nito.......

:cry: :cry: :( :(
Seeing the first flakes fly in Ladner
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