January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Hound wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:30 pm Very interesting. I really want to figure this out. I don't think I've ever heard anyone tackle this on a pro level.
We know cold air sinks into fjords and valleys and it flows like water in overrunning setups. Pitt Lake and the valley north of Alvin stretches up to Garibaldi...and it gets very cold in this area. North Surrey and higher elevations of Coquitlam see the influence of this microclimate feature which causes a colder temp profile and some mechanism that causes heavier precip in these overrunning setups. Either terrain induced cold level damning with just 100-200m of elevation or something I don't understand :alien:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hound wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:30 pm Very interesting. I really want to figure this out. I don't think I've ever heard anyone tackle this on a pro level.
I'll give it a go.

Upsloping at the micro level, just like you see on the east side of the Rockies. Outflow out of the Pitt River valley hits the hills south of the river in Guildford/Fraser Heights and in central Coquitlam. Orographic lift enhances precip, combined with the cool dry air from the outflow results in more significant evaporative cooling than surrounding areas.

Same reason why Como Lake hill in central Coquitlam always outperforms similar elevations on Westwood Plateau, and even sometimes areas that are 100m greater in elevation.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:21 pm We know cold air sinks into fjords and valleys and it flows like water in overrunning setups. Pitt Lake and the valley north of Alvin stretches up to Garibaldi...and it gets very cold in this area. North Surrey and higher elevations of Coquitlam see the influence of this microclimate feature which causes a colder temp profile and some mechanism that causes heavier precip in these overrunning setups. Either terrain induced cold level damning with just 100-200m of elevation or something I don't understand :alien:
Great answer!
But why is Pitt Meadows warmer in this situation?
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

ClaytonWx wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:15 pm 99% of the people I talk to only use Apple Weather and are baffled when I laugh and tell them about EC
Ya, they use their phones weather app which is serious wrong most of the time as it's computer gibberish.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Bc_trucker wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:15 pm Here's my 2 cents...main winds are coming east to west in those events, secondary wind coming down Pitt Lake (relatively warmer waterbody I'm guessing), creating a Venturi effect and a localized inversion??? I dunno...just throwing something out there?
Nice one! :thumbup:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:27 pm I'll give it a go.

Upsloping at the micro level, just like you see on the east side of the Rockies. Outflow out of the Pitt River valley hits the hills south of the river in Guildford/Fraser Heights and in central Coquitlam. Orographic lift enhances precip, combined with the cool dry air from the outflow results in more significant evaporative cooling than surrounding areas.

Same reason why Como Lake hill in central Coquitlam always outperforms similar elevations on Westwood Plateau, and even sometimes areas that are 100m greater in elevation.
Niiiiiiiiiiiiice! :thumbup:
Between the 3 answers it kinda comes together!
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Hound wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:29 pm Best answer I've heard yet!
But why is Pitt Meadows warmer in this situation?
My guess is a downsloping component or frictional drag causes air at the lowest level (sub 50 meters) to warm up in these marginal setups.
Last edited by wetcoast91 on Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

PortKells wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:35 pm I think that even within this little micro climate, up top this little hill I’m on is absolutely killer. It just dumps. I think Hawk is the same. That also applies to rain as well.
Im near 210 and 80th at about 100m..Willoughby summit if you will. Upsloping from all sides :thumbup: :thumbup:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Snow is coming
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Hound wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:02 pm This was the best I could do..


2024-01-15_210055.jpg
2024-01-15_210010.jpg
2024-01-15_205953.jpg
2024-01-15_205743.jpg
Nice maps! This map shows how all air flows down into Pitt Meadows from any direction..slightly warming and expanding = rain in marginal situations. Dont ever move there if you like snow!!
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Hawk wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:44 pm Nice maps! This map shows how all air flows down into Pitt Meadows from any direction..slightly warming and expanding = rain in marginal situations. Dont ever move there if you like snow!!
It’s a hole!
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:44 pm Nice maps! This map shows how all air flows down into Pitt Meadows from any direction..slightly warming and expanding = rain in marginal situations. Dont ever move there if you like snow!!
Sh*t Meadows

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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:27 pm I'll give it a go.

Upsloping at the micro level, just like you see on the east side of the Rockies. Outflow out of the Pitt River valley hits the hills south of the river in Guildford/Fraser Heights and in central Coquitlam. Orographic lift enhances precip, combined with the cool dry air from the outflow results in more significant evaporative cooling than surrounding areas.

Same reason why Como Lake hill in central Coquitlam always outperforms similar elevations on Westwood Plateau, and even sometimes areas that are 100m greater in elevation.
Nice! :thumbup: :thumbup:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Weather101 wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:16 pm Hmmm very conservative
Not only conservative, but the written snow totals don't match the shaded colours. For example, it says 3cm for Abbotsford but the city is actually in the 20cm shaded area. Not sure what to make of that map other than an accidental mistake? :?
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

Are these latest maps pushing the system further south and thereby decreasing out snow totals?
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