December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Dec 08, 2020 11:38 am :cry: :cry:
Hahaha.


Pretty much. :cry:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Quite the disparity between the CMC and GFS ensembles.

Go CMC!
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

EPS also showing some ridging as we head towards Xmas. Perhaps it starts amplifying? :dunno:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Dec 08, 2020 11:43 am Quite the disparity between the CMC and GFS ensembles.

Go CMC!
Kinda sorta looks like the EPS.

:think:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Dec 08, 2020 11:44 am Kinda sorta looks like the EPS.

:think:
Canadians have always liked the Europeans over Americans anyway. ;)

I kid, of course.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Dec 08, 2020 11:43 am EPS also showing some ridging as we head towards Xmas. Perhaps it starts amplifying? :dunno:
This is the run to run change in heights. It is definitely trending towards building heights into Alaska.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:think: :think:
14-km EPS Global North America 500 hPa Height Anom.gif
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Dec 08, 2020 11:50 am :think: :think:

14-km EPS Global North America 500 hPa Height Anom.gif
Without a doubt that block is trying to amplify. :D :clap: :thumbup:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Dec 08, 2020 10:55 am The latest GEFS runs are hinting at some ridging for Xmas. Still a ways to go though.

index.png
Bring the clear frosty mornings. Just please no mild rain crap.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Dec 08, 2020 12:19 pm Bring the clear frosty mornings. Just please no mild rain crap.
Highs of 15°C and lows of +5… no frost, sorry.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 08, 2020 10:57 am Tried to tell you guys that ENSO doesn't really matter as much in our modern climate. This Nov-Dec has held the traits or a moderate +ENSO.

We are looking at a mid Jan onwards winter this year now. My gut feeling says we won't see any "arctic" but may get a cold onshore flow.
New climate, People don't want to hear the truth. Lol I accept that hence why I'm not disappointed if this winter goes south
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Tue Dec 08, 2020 12:34 pm Highs of 15°C and lows of +5… no frost, sorry.
Wouldn't that be record breaking territory? Not seeing that potential yet. Wouldn't be too surprised though.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-t10_anom-8292800 (1).png
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Weather101 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 08, 2020 12:35 pm New climate, People don't want to hear the truth. Lol I accept that hence why I'm not disappointed if this winter goes south
Gotta go into the winter season hoping for the best but expecting the worst. That way there is no disappointment.

:thumbup: :mrgreen: :lol:

Edit. And also gotta make sure to have a few laughs along the way.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Dec 08, 2020 12:37 pm Wouldn't that be record breaking territory? Not seeing that potential yet. Wouldn't be too surprised though.
Seattle was getting conditions like that last week, so I’d say it’s certainly within the realm of what can be expected here. Though honestly the odds favor it being a notch cooler with nighttime frost.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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