January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Snow is still falling when the HRDPS ends so these totals will increase.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:50 am:shock:
DFE25182-2D78-473B-8703-B9388BEC5E37.gif
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

CATNIP

It might be happening. :shock:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:54 am CATNIP

It might be happening. :shock:
:dunno:

:think:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Let’s throw another model into the mix. This run hasn’t finished yet.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Snow starts falling around 1am based on the HRRR.
CAEC0086-AB43-4830-BED7-DF77CBB45CBB.jpeg
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

NoahG wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:51 am What are we thinking for vic? I think we can score 5-10 cm on Wednesday and trace tomorrow
Those numbers seem reasonable. Wednesday is a bit of a question mark as to how much moisture is around. But the atmosphere should be more supportive of snow then at least temperature wise.

I do see a slight trend south with the low track tomorrow in this mornings models. Better for the South Island if that trend holds. Might open the door for a couple Cms at the lower elevations around Victoria. Especially if we see any kind of wrap around or deformation zone north of the low.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

You know we are getting close to the event when Abby Sr chimes in. He’s generally pretty quiet these days.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 9:02 am You know we are getting close to the event when Abby Sr chimes in. He’s generally pretty quiet these days.
Yes. That was nice to see. I miss his insight.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monty wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 9:02 am You know we are getting close to the event when Abby Sr chimes in. He’s generally pretty quiet these days.
He usually lets Jr do all the talking.

:mrgreen:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:58 am Snow starts falling around 1am based on the HRRR.

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The 12z HRRR ran out to 48 hours and has snow around. Precipitation is still in the area when the run ends.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12z ICON was an improvement over yesterday too.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Positive trends this morning. Nice to see as we close in on the event.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 9:15 am Positive trends this morning. Nice to see as we close in on the event.
Euro continues to show very little in terms of accumulations.

:think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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