February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 1:35 pm Interesting...doesnt even form a southern low. The low offshore meanders and dies throwing a weaker less organized impulse of moisture way but the absense of a strong low leads to lesser outflow winds.

Could happen...
Anything is possible. Maybe other models tonight or tomorrow will cave to its solution. One can only hope at this point. :thumbup:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by South Island »

NoahG wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 1:31 pm Yes but the RGEM is a good model. I think I’d trust the RGEM over the nam lol
I guess we will see. Let’s hope things trend more favourable on 00z tonight.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 1:47 pm Anything is possible. Maybe other models tonight or tomorrow will cave to its solution. One can only hope at this point. :thumbup:
Still time to put a new rug under us!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by NoahG »

South Island wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 1:48 pm I guess we will see. Let’s hope things trend more favourable on 00z tonight.
Gfs appears to have just caved. This climate is so frustrating
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Banana split.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 1:13 pm Southern and Eastern Vancouver Island got epic snows during the January 2005 event.

I thought Washington did well with that one too. Maybe I'm wrong. :think: :lol:
We got a bit of snow going into the cold snap in 2005. Had about ~10cm on the ground for just over 10 days and some of the small local lakes froze over.

The huge bust was the big overrunning event that was predicted... we ended up getting less than 5cm of snow followed by record warmth and rains for the remainder of the month. YXX hit 18c on the 19th with a low of 10c. Canada day 2020 was actually colder than that. :lol:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

18Z GFS is an improvement for Monday. :thumbup:
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-3455200.png
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 2:08 pm 18Z GFS is an improvement for Monday. :thumbup:

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-3455200.png
Parallrel GFS looks better for Sat. Is it available on WeatherBell?
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Root for more splitty-ness if you want snow.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Storm wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 2:11 pm Parallrel GFS looks better for Sat. Is it available on WeatherBell?
They just added it to the list but its greyed out. I assume it will be operational on the site soon. :thumbup:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 2:08 pm 18Z GFS is an improvement for Monday. :thumbup:

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-3455200.png
If only those values were inch amounts…
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Operational is nonexistent for Saturday so maybe just maybe.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Looks like I may score a subfreezing max today. Hit -0.2c half an hour ago - current temp is -0.6c, dp -14.8c.

Pretty steady E wind all day, I'd guess some gusts peaked at near 40km/hr.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 2:39 pm Looks like I may score a subfreezing max today. Hit -0.2c half an hour ago - current temp is -0.6c, dp -14.8c.

Pretty steady E wind all day, I'd guess some gusts peaked at near 40km/hr.
Just got back to Ladner, looks like I made it up to 0.4c which is a little higher than I expected. Back down to -0.1c so that’ll probably be my high for the day. Pretty gusty NE winds but nothing too crazy. Recorded my lowest temp of 2021 at -4.3 this morning...I sure hope I can beat that by at leasts a couple degrees tonight.
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