February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9934
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12114 times
Been thanked: 21934 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:silent:
snow.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6329
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6264 times
Been thanked: 14408 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:07 am :silent:

snow.png
Most of the grey will not fall either. Monday may be the regions best shot for snows. Models are getting a smudge colder in the mid range so next week could deliver once the airmass saturates.
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4586
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 28955 times
Been thanked: 9795 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 7:26 am Still looks good for 4-8cm there. LM gets 0 and what looks like moderating temps before the next system arrives Sunday. :lol:
Image
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
Esquimalt39
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 161
Joined: Tue Nov 19, 2019 6:06 pm
Location: Esquimalt
Elevation: 6 feet
Has thanked: 13 times
Been thanked: 127 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Catnip wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:07 am :silent:

snow.png
I'll take 7 inches over 2 inches lol. But oof. It it keeps going south I am going to be screwed.
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4586
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 28955 times
Been thanked: 9795 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Catnip wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 8:10 am Never get excited till the snow is actually falling from the sky.


Learned that lesson a loooong time ago.

:thumbup:
Never get excited unless you move out of the anus hole.
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4586
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 28955 times
Been thanked: 9795 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Monty wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 8:21 am Whatever happened to “they always trend north”
Unless it's bringing snow, then it trends everywhere else including Dallas USA. Such BS.
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6329
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6264 times
Been thanked: 14408 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Hound wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:12 am Never get excited unless you move out of the anus hole.
The anus giveths (Jan 2020) and takeths (2021). It evens out in the end.
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5699
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 10567 times
Been thanked: 10294 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:10 am Most of the grey will not fall either. Monday may be the regions best shot for snows. Models are getting a smudge colder in the mid range so next week could deliver once the airmass saturates.
If this trend continues even the south island will lose out on the fun. Just more proof that these dry continental arctic blasts don't produce, especially for the Lower Mainland. So disappointing because if it wasn't so dry, this would be epic region wide low elevation snows. :thumbdown:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6329
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6264 times
Been thanked: 14408 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:15 am If this trend continues even the south island will lose out on the fun. Just more proof that these dry continental arctic blasts don't produce, especially for the Lower Mainland. So disappointing because if it wasn't so dry, this would be epic region wide low elevation snows. :thumbdown:
Off axis troughs into the Pacific over NE BC rarely deliver here. That is a fact. Best scenario for lowland snow in SW BC is a no tilt broadened block. It looks to get there next week on some runs...but with a higher snow level. Could flirt with lowland snow near 100m at times.
User avatar
LadnerWeather
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 408
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:13 pm
Location: Tsawwassen
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 990 times
Been thanked: 1004 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

Catnip wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:07 am :silent:

snow.png
One of the few setups that favours Southwestern sections for higher totals..although I probably won’t do as good next week once the cold air begins to scour out. Either way im sure each event will be a nowcast situation as usual :think:
Currently located in Tsawwassen, beside Tsawwassen Mills
User avatar
Pumpkin Seed
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 335
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:24 pm
Location: Richmond west
Elevation: 2 Ft
Has thanked: 253 times
Been thanked: 734 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pumpkin Seed »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:15 am If this trend continues even the south island will lose out on the fun. Just more proof that these dry continental arctic blasts don't produce, especially for the Lower Mainland. So disappointing because if it wasn't so dry, this would be epic region wide low elevation snows. :thumbdown:
That’s why I don’t like any epic or extreme cold which means all the good stuff always go south and we end up getting nothing, maybe just a few cm of slushy snow at the end of the event as consolation prize or even worse just cold rain.
Richmond west
Elevation: 2 ft
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7082
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320ft/3000ft
Has thanked: 13071 times
Been thanked: 6586 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:15 am If this trend continues even the south island will lose out on the fun. Just more proof that these dry continental arctic blasts don't produce, especially for the Lower Mainland. So disappointing because if it wasn't so dry, this would be epic region wide low elevation snows. :thumbdown:
Arctic blast?? lmao. This is an arctic trickle. -2c from Langley to Coquitlam this am? Wuta Joke.
If the PG High stays put and we get to -14c lows instead, we will get snow. Like Jan 1996 iirc? :think: :think:
#patternshift mid Jan leads to :flakey: :flakey: #beginningofFeb...again.
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6329
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6264 times
Been thanked: 14408 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Hawk wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:32 am Arctic blast?? lmao. This is an arctic trickle. -2c from Langley to Coquitlam this am? Wuta Joke.
If the PG High stays put and we get to -14c lows instead, we will get snow. Like Jan 1996 iirc? :think: :think:
Cold temps are out of the picture unless the airmass below decouples with clear skies as well. Persistant winds and cloudcover means very low DP and temps near freezing.

Different story had the PV resided over BC instead of being near Thunder Bay. This is a homegrown arctic airmass thats very dry.

Still impressive that its remaining cold. I'm amazed temps haven't warmed up with the channeling and near-downsloping we are seeing.
User avatar
LadnerWeather
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 408
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:13 pm
Location: Tsawwassen
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 990 times
Been thanked: 1004 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

Looks like we’ll get some clear breaks this evening before clouds increase early tomorrow morning. Probably our best chance to get some impressive lows (for Mid February at least). I still think we’ll stay below freezing in most areas for 3-4 days straight so thats not too bad considering the time of year.
Currently located in Tsawwassen, beside Tsawwassen Mills
User avatar
Forrest Gump
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4473
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:11 pm
Location: South Surrey/White Rock
Elevation: 377 Ft. or 115 M
Has thanked: 12481 times
Been thanked: 8218 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Well... it is sunny out now , some chilly sunshine at -4° with 21km winds.
Post Reply