December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

[Catnip]

Canadian ensembles paint a different picture and put us in a wet pattern as we head towards Christmas.

EPS doesn't shift the ridging eastward like the Cdn. Extended could go either way I guess.

1.png

2.png

3.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

The Cliff Mass model says Vancouver gets about 5" tomorrow.

wa_snow24.48.0000.gif

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

18Z GFS looks pretty good.

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2209600.png

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-2152000.png

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-dew2m_c-2152000.png

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-2155600.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

HRDPS.

hrdps-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2209600.png

[Coquitlam79]

prec2-24.png

814prcp.new-11.gif

Not exactly the driest pattern. A bit drier than normal but nothing to worry about. We have to expect a drier and more benign winter under a moderate el nino, that is normal. If this were a very strong el nino, we would be getting more storms and more active weather similar to 15/16 and I belive 82/83. But moderate El ninos are pretty boring around here

[stuffradio]

We're now at the darkest point as far as evenings goes. We won't get any darker in terms of sunsets. Cherry blossoms rejoice!

[Bonovox]

We're now at the darkest point as far as evenings goes. We won't get any darker in terms of sunsets. Cherry blossoms rejoice!

I enjoy the early sunsets.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Western areas favoured in the 18Z Euro.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2209600.png

[SouthSardiswx]

Kuchera snowfall maps:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-2209600.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-2209600.png

Say 5cm for the central valley l can't see it but couple cm's would be a delight.

[SouthSardiswx]

I enjoy the early sunsets.

l was thinking that last night but sunrises take a hit until the end of December they keep getting later.

[Hawk]

Doubt I’d get 15 on the ground but fun to watch it fall if true.

Looks like a PomoMan special. Solid 10cms i think..maybe even 15?

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

https://twitter.com/GrahamPudek/status/ ... 9155584143

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Rain moves in tomorrow morning changing to wet snow by noon for areas generally north of the border, and higher elevations. I do expect sea level in those areas to see snow as well and areas 50-100m+ above sea level will probably see at least slush accumulate 1/2

As this system approaches it will pull in easterly wind and give us relative heavy precip rates which should allow us to see heavy wet snow. Which will make roads slippery. Maybe 0-5cm below 100m and up to 10cm for higher elevs.
#BCSnow #VancouverSnow #snow #BCStorm

https://twitter.com/ElijahBman/status/1 ... 1888058750

[AbbyJr]

My guess is that areas below 300m elevation will be mostly rain. This will not be a widespread accumulating snow event. Sorry to say.

[VanCitySouth]

https://twitter.com/GrahamPudek/status/ ... 9155584143

Honestly the only reason I haven't blocked him is because I need to make fun of him on this forum.