July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: Wed Jul 21, 2021 9:01 am Pretty ugly forecast. That’s probably the best chance of precip in the next 2 weeks. I’m seeing gathering model confidence in a stronger ridge towards early august.
Yup. Pretty ugly trends the last few days for that time period.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Last night’s EPS run.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Looks like the Flat Lake fire has reached highway 97 at the Begbie Summit.
flatlakefire.png
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Catnip wrote: Wed Jul 21, 2021 7:09 am Just a few more months until 850mb temps are a tad too warm and we dry out just as the cold air arrives. Right Nito? Tell em Nito!
This is why we need an angry reaction on top of a thank button.
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Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Jul 20, 2021 5:00 pm You've just jinxed winter 21-22. :shock:
Hey, at least I don't buy a snowblower in October in anticipation of an historic winter!
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Glacier wrote: Wed Jul 21, 2021 9:52 am Looks like the Flat Lake fire has reached highway 97 at the Begbie Summit.

flatlakefire.png
Not good.

Is that young lake in the bottom right. I’m surprised it’s so active. I thought a lot of that burned in 2017. I guess it must be just east of where the elephant hill fire burnt
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Monty wrote: Wed Jul 21, 2021 10:56 am Not good.

Is that young lake in the bottom right. I’m surprised it’s so active. I thought a lot of that burned in 2017. I guess it must be just east of where the elephant hill fire burnt
The Sparks Lake Fire and Young Lake fires have burned right up to the Elephant Hill fire, but the Flat Lake fire is a ways off yet (12km to be exact)...
CURRENTFIRESAS.png
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Jul 21, 2021 7:09 am Just a few more months until 850mb temps are a tad too warm and we dry out just as the cold air arrives. Right Nito? Tell em Nito!
Wrong. 850mb will be cold enough to support snow and surface temps were -20C in Hope. Winter storm warning will be issued. First impulse of moisture will go south allowing cold dry air to seep into the LM. Could see some flurries for Southern areas before a heavier impulse of moisture arrives in the evening and brings some very heavy mixed precip before it turns to rain with strong southerly +10C winds by the morning.

Hawk will post his obs from the Similkameen and brag about seeing 50cm at his burned down cabin.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jul 21, 2021 1:36 pm Wrong. 850mb will be cold enough to support snow and surface temps were -20C in Hope. Winter storm warning will be issued. First impulse of moisture will go south allowing cold dry air to seep into the LM. Could see some flurries for Southern areas before a heavier impulse of moisture arrives in the evening and brings some very heavy mixed precip before it turns to rain with strong southerly +10C winds by the morning.

Hawk will post his obs from the Similkameen and brag about seeing 50cm at his burned down cabin.
Well it's better that you get it out of the system in July :lol:

Also, Nito, do you mind serving up pineapples in August instead? Much obliged.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Current fire situation over the southern half of the province.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

North Surrey/Fraser Heights
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Antares »

Today is the first day Cranbrook has had a high below 30C since July 8th and the first high of 27C since June 24th. Amazing stat. They are averaging 33.3C / 14.5C this month so far. :wtf:

I'll be moving there next month. :wave:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Antares wrote: Wed Jul 21, 2021 5:51 pm Today is the first day Cranbrook has had a high below 30C since July 8th and the first high of 27C since June 24th. Amazing stat. They are averaging 33.3C / 14.5C this month so far. :wtf:

I'll be moving there next month. :wave:
At least you'll have decent winters even in bad winter's it will be far better than coastal standards.
Hope you'll continue to contribute to the forum.
There's many many snowy day's in the Stinkm...l mean Kootenay's. :D
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Antares »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:10 pm At least you'll have decent winters even in bad winter's it will be far better than coastal standards.
Hope you'll continue to contribute to the forum.
There's many many snowy day's in the Stinkm...l mean Kootenay's. :D
I'll still be here of course.

It doesn't stink in that part of the Kootenays. ;)
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:20 am Just a few more months until we hit the EggGrog!
:lol: yuppers :drunk:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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