October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

Yup low level NE flow with trof dropping in from the NW..nice set up. Solid.

Next Tuesday's trough looks even more impressive.

[Typeing3]

Snapshot of the past four Euro runs for Tuesday....Trending cooler.

[SouthSardiswx]

Fantastic, unlike last year when trends would end up warmer this year trends are colder per run.

[SouthSardiswx]

I remember Oct 84 well. Snowed on the 30th? I was with butties in MRidge north east area..clear and chilly to start the evening..watched a mass of white clouds descend from the north..then started snowing heavily..temp around 1-2c. Dropped about 3 to 4 cm if I recall but was stoned lol.

Figures it started snowing in Richmond just after midnight so officially it was Nov. 1st, l remember John Paschold the next day mentioning it fell just short of a record first snowfall for Oct. but little did we know it would happen in 91? was it.

[Typeing3]

Figures it started snowing in Richmond just after midnight so officially it was Nov. 1st, l remember John Paschold the next day mentioning it fell just short of a record first snowfall for Oct. but little did we know it would happen in 91? was it.

Yep, it was '91.

In the recent past... it's snowed in late Oct in Vancouver in 1971, 1984 and 1991.

[Monty]

Yep, it was '91.

In the recent past... it's snowed in late Oct in Vancouver in 1971, 1984 and 1991.

I remember 91 well. I lived really close to our elementary school and walked home at lunch to get a winter coat as I had only worn a sweat shirt that morning. Pants too of course. There was about 3” by the time school let out.

[SouthSardiswx]

I remember 91 well. I lived really close to our elementary school and walked home at lunch to get a winter coat as I had only worn a sweat shirt that morning. Pants too of course. There was about 3” by the time school let out.

Glad to here you wore pants Mr. M, l think Grumpy Gumps wears a kilt much easier to play with his bag pipes.

[Mattman]

Although it's the clown range, the clowns have been consistent for the past few days. After Thanksgiving a deep low sets up over the GOA. Yuk. Before the "Ninosih pattern" terminology gets thrown around, it would only be ninosih if California got drenched. It remains dry.

[Hawk]

Temporary glitch in the models..will prolly flip soon..or else pattern reset shortly after. Nothing to worry about at this point. This autumn..the default is #tat and cool/wet. Your HawkKast is in

[Antares]

I can see November being very wet again this year (like 2018).

Last year Mosquito Creek almost overflowed onto Marine Dr.

[Monty]

Although it's the clown range, the clowns have been consistent for the past few days. After Thanksgiving a deep low sets up over the GOA. Yuk. Before the "Ninosih pattern" terminology gets thrown around, it would only be ninosih if California got drenched. It remains dry.

Wasn’t California also dry during the last super nino? It’s nice that Mother Nature doesn’t always play by our rules. Keeps us on our toes.

[VanCitySouth]

Something doesn't add up...

[Mattman]

Wasn’t California also dry during the last super nino? It’s nice that Mother Nature doesn’t always play by our rules. Keeps us on our toes.

I could be wrong, but I don't think it stayed dry. After the winter of 2014/2015 there was much hyperbole in California about them being in permanent drought as that winter was exceptionally dry along the entire west coast of the US and Canada. I think the drought started to bust during that Nino, and it really took a hammering during the following winter. I remember the Oroville Dam's spillway crisis in the spring of 2017.

[SouthSardiswx]

Something doesn't add up...

maybe if the dewpoint was -30c it might. good ole E.C. at it's finest.

[Typeing3]

18z showing a freeze Tuesday night/Wednesday morning for the Fraser Valley along with E Metro Van. 850mb temps dropping close to -5C.