October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
- Typeing3
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
12z GFS shows our first freeze of the season is only 11 days away.
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East Coquitlam
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#MrJanuary
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
12z GFS ensembles.
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East Coquitlam
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#MrJanuary
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Finally a bit of sun right now which is nice before the rain, And yeah living by the water fog is beyond stubborn.
All about them Cowboys !!!
- Weather101
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
That doesn't surprise me for that area, Was actually chilly and just complete fog/mist. Haven't seen any warmth at all tbh.
All about them Cowboys !!!
- Weather101
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
When should the rain start tmrw?
All about them Cowboys !!!
- Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Starting to sprinkle in Bellingham.
It's called clown range for a reason.
- VanCitySouth
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
GFS advertising some alpine snow Tuesday?
2024-25 season stats:
Climo 0 to 0 GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
Climo 0 to 0 GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
FLS dipping to 2000m tonight and hovering between 1500-2000m through Tuesday so there should be > 30cm above 1500m through Tuesday.
- stuffradio
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Some Clown range ECMWF members have extreme outlier solutions that drop us below 0C
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Raining heavily now could be 50mm plus for North shore mountains by morning. Some models again are showing a big ridge rebuilding going into mid to late October. It never ends! Looking a little like the Fall of 2000. Wasn't 2000-2001 a weak La Niña? It was also one of the driest fall and winter ever.
- Monty
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Not too worried about a dry fall over here at this point. September was a super soaker and with the rain over the next couple days, September and October combined will already likely be running wetter than normal.Coquitlam79 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 09, 2020 8:49 pm Raining heavily now could be 50mm plus for North shore mountains by morning. Some models again are showing a big ridge rebuilding going into mid to late October. It never ends! Looking a little like the Fall of 2000. Wasn't 2000-2001 a weak La Niña? It was also one of the driest fall and winter ever.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
- Typeing3
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
00z GFS has an early season backdoor blast in the long range.
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East Coquitlam
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#MrJanuary
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Trust me, This will be a ridge type winter but that's just how I feelCoquitlam79 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 09, 2020 8:49 pm Raining heavily now could be 50mm plus for North shore mountains by morning. Some models again are showing a big ridge rebuilding going into mid to late October. It never ends! Looking a little like the Fall of 2000. Wasn't 2000-2001 a weak La Niña? It was also one of the driest fall and winter ever.
All about them Cowboys !!!
- Monty
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
We were rain shadowed most of the night here. Picked up about 15mm. Still some hints of a cool down and maybe some frost later next week in the models. But I just got a new set of Nokian tires put on for the winter yesterday so I expect that should scare away any chance of cold for the next year at least.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
- Abby_wx
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
I got 43.2 mm last night.
Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm