October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS shows our first freeze of the season is only 11 days away. :D
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Catnip wrote: Thu Oct 08, 2020 9:28 am That sucks.

We haven't had any fog here, so was nice and sunny.
Finally a bit of sun right now which is nice before the rain, And yeah living by the water fog is beyond stubborn.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Oct 08, 2020 9:27 am Was foggy for a few hours in the morning here in Coquitlam but was sunny and warm for most of the day.
That doesn't surprise me for that area, Was actually chilly and just complete fog/mist. Haven't seen any warmth at all tbh.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

When should the rain start tmrw?
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Starting to sprinkle in Bellingham.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

GFS advertising some alpine snow Tuesday?
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Harooch »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 12:59 pm GFS advertising some alpine snow Tuesday?
FLS dipping to 2000m tonight and hovering between 1500-2000m through Tuesday so there should be > 30cm above 1500m through Tuesday.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Some Clown range ECMWF members have extreme outlier solutions that drop us below 0C
render-gorax-green-007-6fe5cac1a363ec1525f54343b6cc9fd8-M5LCHC.png
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

Raining heavily now could be 50mm plus for North shore mountains by morning. Some models again are showing a big ridge rebuilding going into mid to late October. It never ends! Looking a little like the Fall of 2000. Wasn't 2000-2001 a weak La Niña? It was also one of the driest fall and winter ever. :roll:
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 8:49 pm Raining heavily now could be 50mm plus for North shore mountains by morning. Some models again are showing a big ridge rebuilding going into mid to late October. It never ends! Looking a little like the Fall of 2000. Wasn't 2000-2001 a weak La Niña? It was also one of the driest fall and winter ever. :roll:
Not too worried about a dry fall over here at this point. September was a super soaker and with the rain over the next couple days, September and October combined will already likely be running wetter than normal.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS has an early season backdoor blast in the long range.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 8:49 pm Raining heavily now could be 50mm plus for North shore mountains by morning. Some models again are showing a big ridge rebuilding going into mid to late October. It never ends! Looking a little like the Fall of 2000. Wasn't 2000-2001 a weak La Niña? It was also one of the driest fall and winter ever. :roll:
Trust me, This will be a ridge type winter but that's just how I feel 🤷
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

We were rain shadowed most of the night here. Picked up about 15mm. Still some hints of a cool down and maybe some frost later next week in the models. But I just got a new set of Nokian tires put on for the winter yesterday so I expect that should scare away any chance of cold for the next year at least.
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Re: October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

I got 43.2 mm last night.
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Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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