January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Storm]

More snow Thursday into Friday.

[Storm]

WeatherPro in da house.

[Bonovox]

So close.

[Bonovox]

More snow Thursday into Friday.

I think it'll be a fun week.

[Storm]

I think it'll be a fun week.

Can you post hour 174

[Bonovox]

Can you post hour 174

[SouthSardiswx]

where's WP? maybe he forgot his script.

[Bc_trucker]

where's WP? maybe he forgot his script.

He was just peaking around the corner, and then quietly left, but he did leave the backdoor open, I can feel the draft....

[WeatherPro]

So let me explain a bit,
All the models are showing something different. The actual result will be a combination of them all. Meaning somewhere in the middle of them all.
Mets are currently having a hard time trying to forecast this because so many things at play here. It's unfortunate that the models backed off the high snow totals originally shown, HOWEVER, this is still going to deliver, something. I think some places may still see 15cm if you are at higher elevations. So this would be the Sat & Sun combined totals.

Coming this week, will be many more shots at smaller but possibly 5cm or so accumulation shots. Mid week could see more of a snow storm type scenario. The cold will continue as Feb is going to be very winter-like on Southern BC. Snow accumulation should last this entire period so building on top of the snow pack could end up seeing up to 30cm snow build up by next week. This is possible but of course not for sure.

NOW, the cold has already started it's move south tonight. Many interior cities are around -10 tonight after many nights of just below or at zero. The cold is settling in and will push down Friday. By Saturday the air will be cold enough for snow at all levels, including sea level. The light outflow has already started tonight and will continue over the next few days. This is where I am seeing the air cold enough for snow. The warm air is on it's way out. Prince George was only supposed to see a low of -8 tonight. They are now down to -13 and the forecast had to be adjusted downward and colder for the week. This is another reason why I feel right now things are being underestimated, and the cold will be just enough to give the snow you guys all want, quite spread out across the SW BC.

So my forecast still stands. The slider will come, they will deliver. Not all in one shot, but many smaller ones.

Snowfall warning may be issues at the 5am forecast, or they may be a bit shy and wait until the afternoon.
The 2cm EC has in their forecast is too low. It will be more this time. The atmosphere supports it, unlike the other only snowfall this winter, this is much more promising.

[SouthSardiswx]

Thanks WP very detailed info.

[SouthSardiswx]

Are you in again John?

[John]

So let me explain a bit,
All the models are showing something different. The actual result will be a combination of them all. Meaning somewhere in the middle of them all.
Mets are currently having a hard time trying to forecast this because so many things at play here. It's unfortunate that the models backed off the high snow totals originally shown, HOWEVER, this is still going to deliver, something. I think some places may still see 15cm if you are at higher elevations. So this would be the Sat & Sun combined totals.

Coming this week, will be many more shots at smaller but possibly 5cm or so accumulation shots. Mid week could see more of a snow storm type scenario. The cold will continue as Feb is going to be very winter-like on Southern BC. Snow accumulation should last this entire period so building on top of the snow pack could end up seeing up to 30cm snow build up by next week. This is possible but of course not for sure.

NOW, the cold has already started it's move south tonight. Many interior cities are around -10 tonight after many nights of just below or at zero. The cold is settling in and will push down Friday. By Saturday the air will be cold enough for snow at all levels, including sea level. The light outflow has already started tonight and will continue over the next few days. This is where I am seeing the air cold enough for snow. The warm air is on it's way out. Prince George was only supposed to see a low of -8 tonight. They are now down to -13 and the forecast had to be adjusted downward and colder for the week. This is another reason why I feel right now things are being underestimated, and the cold will be just enough to give the snow you guys all want, quite spread out across the SW BC.

So my forecast still stands. The slider will come, they will deliver. Not all in one shot, but many smaller ones.

Snowfall warning may be issues at the 5am forecast, or they may be a bit shy and wait until the afternoon.
The 2cm EC has in their forecast is too low. It will be more this time. The atmosphere supports it, unlike the other only snowfall this winter, this is much more promising.

Thanks wp you are very brave if your right about this I will never question you again!!

[John]

Thanks wp you are very brave if your right about this I will never question you again!!

Maybe

[Bc_trucker]

Let the S(n)how begin!

[WeatherPro]

Thanks wp you are very brave if your right about this I will never question you again!!

Nobody is perfect and as you know, forecasting snow for the lower mainland is the most difficult of all of Canada. We can only read the models and the conditions and guess as to what will occur. We all know that 1c degree difference can make all the difference in the world.