November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Roberts Creeker]

First tornado on the south coast since 2018. Before that, the last one was in 1988.

Thanks for the stats. I was wondering.

[SouthSardiswx]

Thanks for the stats. I was wondering.

l was looking for the photo l saw showing the funnel over UBC, hmm can't find it must have come from Gumpys realistic but questionable tornadic photo collection.

[Typeing3]

18z GFS... AR on Thursday night.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_15.png

Followed by another on Sunday.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_26.png

[SouthSardiswx]

18z GFS... AR on Thursday night.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_15.png
Followed by another on Sunday.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_26.png

l recall Nov 2016 we hit a high around this day of 21c @ YXX, l recall no jacket required that day.

[Hound]

https://twitter.com/ECCCWeatherBC/statu ... 2592786436

[Typeing3]

l recall Nov 2016 we hit a high around this day of 21c @ YXX, l recall no jacket required that day.

That was the warmest Nov temp on record at YXX.

In terms of longevity though, I don't think anything comes close to the November 1949 heatwave.

Highs at YXX

Nov 1: 19.4c
Nov 2: 20.6c
Nov 3: 18.9c
Nov 4: 20.0c
Nov 5: 20.0c

[tyweather]

Tyler Hamilton video on the tornado
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SVcUYfZJ0L4

[SouthSardiswx]

That was the warmest Nov temp on record at YXX.

In terms of longevity though, I don't think anything comes close to the November 1949 heatwave.

Highs at YXX

Nov 1: 19.4c
Nov 2: 20.6c
Nov 3: 18.9c
Nov 4: 20.0c
Nov 5: 20.0c

Wow, was that a classic winter for us Tshirt?

[AbbyJr]

Wow, was that a classic winter for us Tshirt?

Epic winter for us as the Arctic air locked in for most of January.

[AbbyJr]

That was the warmest Nov temp on record at YXX.

In terms of longevity though, I don't think anything comes close to the November 1949 heatwave.

Highs at YXX

Nov 1: 19.4c
Nov 2: 20.6c
Nov 3: 18.9c
Nov 4: 20.0c
Nov 5: 20.0c

And then January 1950 came and we all know the Arctic result.

[Typeing3]

Wow, was that a classic winter for us Tshirt?

Yep.

By average temp, the following January was the coldest on record for most locations.

Data is very spotty but it was likely the coldest month across the south coast in 75 years, since January 1875. Across the province, New Westminster is the only station available that existed in 1950 and goes far enough back to record 1875 as well.

I'll link the data for both months at the New Westminster station below.
1875: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 75&Month=1#
1950: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 50&Month=1#

[SouthSardiswx]

Yep.

By average temp, the following January was the coldest on record for most locations.

Data is very spotty but it was likely the coldest month across the south coast in 75 years, since January 1875. Across the province, New Westminster is the only station available that existed in 1950 and goes far enough back to record 1875 as well.

I'll link the data for both months at the New Westminster station below.
1875: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 75&Month=1#
1950: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 50&Month=1#

So does that mean we need afew pineapple days this month to cement a classic winter for us Tman.

[Weather101]

18z GFS... AR on Thursday night.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_15.png
Followed by another on Sunday.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_26.png

Why is it always on a Sunday lol

[Typeing3]

So does that mean we need afew pineapple days this month to cement a classic winter for us Tman.

Not at all. It can go either way.

[Roberts Creeker]

Tyler Hamilton video on the tornado
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SVcUYfZJ0L4

That was interesting, thanks for posting. A "generational event" pairs nicely with our unprecedented heat dome and maybe? Fingers crossed, epic winter! But not too record breaking, want to leave some space for it to top itself next winter.