October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 8:31 pm

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Oct 19, 2020 8:25 pm I believe he once said I was Ã¢â‚¬Å“the dumbest sack of sh!t in the multiverseÃ¢â‚¬Â. So ya heÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s pretty Ã¢â‚¬Å“niceÃ¢â‚¬Â. It was because I said forest fires can burn underground under the snow over the winter and re emerge in the spring. He said that was not possible.

My nice guy comment was sarcastic.

Post by **Catnip** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 8:57 pm

Buddy lives over 4000kms away from the PNW...

Weather101 · Post by **Weather101** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:01 pm

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Oct 19, 2020 8:57 pm Buddy lives over 4000kms away from the PNW...

lol this is what people have said he really has no knowledge for our area.

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:06 pm

Weather101 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:01 pm lol this is what people have said he really has no knowledge for our area.

Its possible to be really smart but also lack knowledge in specific areas.

wetcoast91 · Post by **wetcoast91** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:10 pm

00 GFS really sucks if you wanted any cold. Trough slides well East. Flow looks onshore this weekend..

VanCitySouth · Post by **VanCitySouth** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:13 pm

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:10 pm 00 GFS really sucks if you wanted any cold. Trough slides well East. Flow looks onshore this weekend..

Ah good ol' Nito post. Warming up for the rug pull later this year no doubt.

wetcoast91 · Post by **wetcoast91** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:25 pm

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:13 pm Ah good ol' Nito post. Warming up for the rug pull later this year no doubt.

Meanwhile the GEM has a solid blast of arctic air behind the system.

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:28 pm

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:25 pm Meanwhile the GEM has a solid blast of arctic air behind the system.

October 1949 blast?

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:32 pm

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:25 pm Meanwhile the GEM has a solid blast of arctic air behind the system.

That would have been an epic snow event back in January when the temperatures were down to -10C.

wetcoast91 · Post by **wetcoast91** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:37 pm

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:28 pm October 1949 blast?

I'm pretty sure I heard my tomato plants screaming.

Seriously. GFS has temps of +4 to 0 for lows. GEM has -2 to -6C perhaps in Pitt Meadows.

Monty · Post by **Monty** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:38 pm

I think we will see the gfs start to trend stronger with the Friday system at some point. Although it might end up being a compromise with what the GEM is showing. I know the gem typically overdoes it with the cyclogenesis but itÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s within 96hrs now and generally itÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s pretty good in that range

VanCitySouth · Post by **VanCitySouth** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:39 pm

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:25 pm Meanwhile the GEM has a solid blast of arctic air behind the system.

Don't these lows usually trend north?

Edit: looks like Euro gets to be the tiebreaker again.

Monty · Post by **Monty** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:50 pm

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:39 pm Don't these lows usually trend north?

Edit: looks like Euro gets to be the tiebreaker again.

If the low is deepening as it approaches the coast then they generally trend to the north. If the system is weak or remains as an open wave then they are less likely to curve north.

Post by **Bonovox** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:29 pm

What a beautiful track if this was a month later. The low does deepen slightly as it makes landfall, but not much.

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:34 pm

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:29 pm What a beautiful track if this was a month later. The low does deepen slightly as it makes landfall, but not much.

I had just tweeted about this. Wise minds think alike.

https://twitter.com/cwaughweather/statu ... 63776?s=20

October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

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