August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[Glacier]

Nelson is really nice. Kootenay Lake and Slocan Lake area I really like. Much more beautiful than the boring Okanagan.

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[Canada Goose]

Warm and dry: perfect!

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[Canada Goose]

I can't see when the temperature felt to 10.0C...

Once again...

Tmin of 12.0C in YVR, with an hourly min of 13.5C, itself lower of more 2C to the next hourly min... And it was a windy night.
I don't believe it. At all.

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35.1C in Lytton (34.2C at the other station).

4.4C/32.6C in Merritt!

[Roberts Creeker]

Any predictions for the winter yet?

[Monty]

Any predictions for the winter yet?

It’s about time something memorable happened in January.

[Forrest Gump]

After a s(low) start temperature wise in Sicamous 8°, headed for home , stopped for lunch in Kelowna at 23°, then Sardineland hit 31° and Abbyworld was a sizzling 32° as I blew past them.

[Forrest Gump]

From Hyde Mountain golf course in Sicamous overlooking Mara Lake.

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[Forrest Gump]

B.C. winter forecast: Environment Canada gives forecast for the frosty season

Winter is coming – but not for quite a while.

With that in mind, The Old Farmer’s Almanac, a popular reference book, has released its prediction for the 2019/2020 Canadian winter season. It notes that, “the western-third of the country is forecast to see a milder ride with near-normal winter temperatures and precipitation predicted.”

The Almanac also calls, “for above-normal winter precipitation over much of Canada.” In fact, it refers to the upcoming winter season as a “polar coaster.” What’s more, it notes that temperatures will be higher than average across Canada, except in southern British Columbia which, “will bear the brunt of winter’s chill, with colder-than-average temperatures that include occasional face-freezing frigidity in January and February.”
Environment Canada’s long-term Metro Vancouver weather forecast calls for above average temperatures to continue into the fall season.

Vancouver Is Awesome spoke to Armel Castellan, Warning Preparedness Meteorologist, Environment Canada, about what he predicts the Lower Mainland has in store for the coming winter.

Castellan notes that while meteorologists can speculate on the upcoming winter season, it is difficult to predict this far out. Moreover, he doesn’t foresee the same brutal chill in the Lower Mainland.

“It is extremely difficult to hang your hat on a precipitation forecast over a week out,” he explains. “We base our predictions on previous successes. We’ve had some years where our prediction was correct, but there has to be more to work with.”

Castellan remarks, however, that the Almanac made one good point about the frigid season.

“There’s always major weather events during the winter. Whether the overall season sees above-average or below-average temperatures, there’ll always be some variation.”

Castellan cites the massive storm in December of 2018, which cut the 470-metre-long White Rock Pier in half with its powerful winds. He points out that the storm took place during a stretch of fairly average December weather, and that winter typically sees a variation of weather events – but not always as extreme as the 2018 storm, however.

El nino southern oscillation, or ENSO, also affects weather patterns in British Columbia, and Castellan states that, “Right now we are trending with warmer than normal temperatures.”

Furthermore, he notes that these weather patterns are expected to continue into December, boasting an overall warmer trend for the beginning of winter in the Lower Mainland.

[Monty]

^

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[Monty]

Warm night on the island

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[Hawk]

Was warm here too. 24c at 9pm last night

[Hawk]

Metro Vancouver reservoir level higher at this point than any point in the last 4 years.

Yes Stuffman..due to the weekly rains all summer. Last few summers seemed quite dry..but I'm not going off stats...just my aging memory

[Monty]

Anyone heading to Florida this weekend

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[stuffradio]

Latest ENSO forecast is more neutralish than Nina, definitely not Nino

[Catnip]

Not saying I believe in this, but here is what The Old Farmer's Almanac has in store for us this winter.

From Daily Hive:

Make sure to enjoy the last few remaining warm weeks of the year, because the Old Farmer’s Almanac has released its annual long-range winter weather predictions for Canada, and it’s going to be bitterly cold this year.

According to the website, its long-range predictions show weather trends in temperatures and precipitation. Their famous predictions are usually made 18 months in advance and are traditionally 80% accurate.

So if you’re planning ahead for winter, here’s what to expect in some of the major cities across Canada.

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We hate to be the bearer of bad news, but winter will be “colder than normal” on the west coast this year, with above-normal precipitation and below-normal snowfall. You can expect the coldest periods to occur in mid-December through late February, with the snowiest period set to happen in late December, early to mid-January, and early February. But luckily relief from the cold will arrive in April, with temperatures expected to be slightly warmer than normal.


#TEAMSNOW