December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[Catnip]

Well, that’s that!

Onto the next one.

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[AbbyJr]

ECMWF finally going milder in mid range. Have to watch out for that huge AR event being fueled by intense baroclinic convection. Very cold air being pulled into a subtrolical flow. My guess is the rainfall will be very intense and next Thurs- Sat will end up torching.

100-150mm Thurs to Sat?

Any signs of lowland snow is all but gone in the next 10 days.

So you really do prefer mild AR's versus cold and snow.

To be honest, I was very skeptical that we would see the colder snowy solutions for next weekend verify. I'm more interested for things turning colder and snowy around the 10th. I could be wrong but I hope I'm not.

[Roberts Creeker]

EC has periods of snow for Friday night.

TWN has snow from Monday to Saturday next week , yeehaw we're in business!

And here I was just about to abandon Team Snow and jump on Team Winter Cancel/AR Team

[wetcoast91]

Model consensus in LR. Cold air goes to the other side of the globe.

Bummer. I saw a mosquito out today. We need some solid freezes but this looks very unlikely the next 2 weeks. May as well go super dry and get that ridge to amplify over the west coast. Could lead to a decent inversion.

[wetcoast91]

With a fairly healthy block. East goes into the icebox.



Poor oranges in Florida

[AbbyJr]

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[SouthSardiswx]

WOW! that collapsed in a hurry it's almost funny but not.

[SouthSardiswx]

Thanks Jr. for trying to keep our hopes up but carrots won't help right now. I'm too fragile for that.

[wetcoast91]

Thanks Jr. for trying to keep our hopes up but carrots won't help right now. I'm too fragile for that.

This is the new norm with the climate. West Coast Ridging and split flows seem to have been the default patterns the last 7 winters it seems (aside from 2016-17). We barely see windstorms, legiimate arctic blasts, winter thunderstorms or cold core lows anymore. The 2010's have delivered some boring mundane weather...Almost similar to what Northern California used to see.

No surprise that we are going to likely see a ridgy January again.

[AbbyJr]

This is the new norm with the climate. West Coast Ridging and split flows seem to have been the default patterns the last 7 winters it seems (aside from 2016-17). We barely see windstorms, legiimate arctic blasts, winter thunderstorms or cold core lows anymore. The 2010's have delivered some boring mundane weather...Almost similar to what Northern California used to see.

No surprise that we are going to likely see a ridgy January again.

Okay now your just being silly. No reason to say with any kind of confidence that January will end up ridgy. Thanks for being you though. You bring a unique fun element to our community.

[wetcoast91]

EPS = ridgy west/cold east.

[Forrest Gump]

Thanks Jr. for trying to keep our hopes up but carrots won't help right now. I'm too fragile for that.

Take vitog,drink plenty of spuzzum and see Dr. Shrink in the morning.

[SouthSardiswx]

Well Gumps the Euro almost pulled off a last second touchdown but was stopped short of the goal line by El Nito.

[SouthSardiswx]

Can the mods give El Nito a timeout till it turns cold.

[Forrest Gump]

Well Gumps the Euro almost pulled off a last second touchdown but was stopped short of the goal line by El Nito.

I like their chances better against the eagles and niners anyways.