February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

adt83 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:13 am Close to Trout Lake currently, and have lived in and around here for past 12 years, but moving to West Van next month. Be interesting to live on the North Shore and see how different weather is across the water :)
Hmm. My place isn't terribly close to Trout Lake but maybe I'll pick up my first accumulating snowfall of the season. Can't check though, work now. :problem:
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:15 am Ok, here is the 12Z.

:lol:

Snow spreads in over the Island Friday morning.

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24 HR snowfall up to 10am Saturday
sat am snow.png
Thanks. Why is it showing rain over my house in every frame lol?
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

12Z ECMWF finally caves. Further south with storm track Thurs-Sat. Precip shield extends north but lighter amounta. Showing 5-10cm but I see stronger pressure gradients indicating stronger outflow. Realistically 2-5cm?

2011 situation averted.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Esquimalt39 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:16 am Thanks. Why is it showing rain over my house in every frame lol?
I've noticed that the Weathermodels site often does this, whereas the Weatherbell site shows snow.

They really need to work on their programming.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:17 am 12Z ECMWF finally caves. Further south with storm track Thurs-Sat. Precip shield extends north but lighter amounta. Showing 5-10cm but I see stronger pressure gradients indicating stronger outflow. Realistically 2-5cm?

2011 situation averted.
We just don't win, do we?
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Latest ECMWF comes in south (bah) Saturday’s system but does seem to work its way northwards… eventually.
0E4FAC18-AA83-4241-8E1C-DE532ED22437.png.1e5564191eed4dbf6c25f1ea4c95bb96.png
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Last edited by Rubus_Leucodermis on Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:23 am, edited 1 time in total.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

You would think that this would be an awesome track for drawing in cold air.

Image
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Snow is really coming down now.

It appears that the western sections of Metro will start seeing some heavier cells soon.

:think:

#surprises
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Don't believe the propaganda. Several more runs to go. 2-5 cm? :lol: :lol:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Granddaddyp2233 »

Current
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

tyweather wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:20 am You would think that this would be an awesome track for drawing in cold air.

Image
Pretty sure we would hang on to a bit more cold than that shows
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

PortKells wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:21 am Don't believe the propaganda. Several more runs to go. 2-5 cm? :lol: :lol:
If it showed more he wouldn't post about it.

You know the drill.

:wave: Nito :cheers: :ghug:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

tyweather wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:20 am You would think that this would be an awesome track for drawing in cold air.

Image
Nito’s been hacking again.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

That Low west of N/Central Van isle is doing its work. The clouds have not been pushed out to the coast by the weak arctic push. Instead clouds are staying stationary, as the Low pumps up the moisture. If anything, the clouds are building up dropping some heavy flurries. Why is this happening Nito? I thought it was bone dry front coming at us? :lol: :lol:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Today feels like the type of day that may over-perform.

:think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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