January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_5day-3976000.png
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Monty
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Long range ensembles are okay. We need a better Alaskan ridge for the real good stuff
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Monty wrote: Thu Jan 20, 2022 12:15 pm Long range ensembles are okay. We need a better Alaskan ridge for the real good stuff
True..not sure you can do that much better at 10-15 days out though. The southeast ridge is there now too keep in mind.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

PortKells wrote: Thu Jan 20, 2022 12:34 pm True..not sure you can do that much better at 10-15 days out though. The southeast ridge is there now too keep in mind.
Yea. It’s pretty good. We will see where the anomaly centres end up as the time frame narrows and ensemble spread tightens. Higher heights in Alaska or a more west based NAO block would help
Last edited by Monty on Thu Jan 20, 2022 1:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-t2m_c_anom_30day-6006400.png
ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-qpf_anom_30day-6006400.png
Looks like overall Feb is cooler than normal with normal to slightly below normal precip.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

stuffradio wrote: Thu Jan 20, 2022 1:30 pm ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-t2m_c_anom_30day-6006400.png
ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-qpf_anom_30day-6006400.png

Looks like overall Feb is cooler than normal with normal to slightly below normal precip.
If Feb is 3-4c below normal as the map suggests, that would roughly translate to a monthly mean between 1c and 2c for most of the lower mainland.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

:14clown:

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-4040800.png
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: Thu Jan 20, 2022 8:52 am Getting ready to post maps and have them critiqued!

:roll: :roll:
:cancel: :flakey: :flakey:
hahahaa and Bono is like :x :x and Storm is like :shh:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Wintergirl wrote: Thu Jan 20, 2022 9:59 am Snow on ground since Dec 12th
Whoa...ur location is LEGIT!! :clap: :clap:
:flakey: :flakey: :flakey:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

18z GEFS had a much more impressive ridge pushing up into Alaska
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

First double digit high here today since dec 1st
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Granddaddyp2233 wrote: Thu Jan 20, 2022 12:07 am What you planting Roberts
I'm not really sure yet, it just feels like time to grow things. :lol: :lol: So I'm thinking of starting spinach and artichokes, maybe in a couple of weeks. Spinach can go in the greenhouse and artichokes need an early start. Might try lettuce in the greenhouse too after starting it inside.

Do you grow a garden?
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

moonshadow0825 wrote: Thu Jan 20, 2022 7:01 am you and me both! already looking at some seed companies for new and unusual :D
Me too! I saw perennial wheat a couple of years ago but haven't been able to find anyone selling seed.

What seed catalogues do you have? I have Veseys and West Coast. I was sad that Baker Creek changed their shipping from free to $12 USd. I won't be ordering from them this year. Their Kuroda carrots were the best! I still have some seed so I'm good for this year.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

I'm just trying to enable something to speed up the forum. If it breaks try again within an hour.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

I've watched a few videos about the volcano and pressure wave on this channel. Lots of really interesting info about the tsunami, including a square wave pattern on the ocean, that's in video #9, the shockwave, etc.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A78YTvm ... TMyWXcjk8f
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