January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 1:28 pm That ship sailed long ago. YVR recorded 4cm of snow on Nov 19th.

The record is definitely dubious given most of the region recorded a trace and up to 2cm, however even a trace will save us from breaking any records. Vancouver has never had any calendar years without at least a trace of snow in recorded history.
Winter started on December 21. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 1:49 pm Winter started on December 21. :thumbup:
Ah, if we're going by astronomical winter then YVR likely has recorded a few.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Source: https://x.com/commoditywx
Gg8-pe5XcAAlrC-.png
Gg8-0fuWMAIu6oD.jpg
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 1:22 pm Still looks good for a snowless winter. :thumbup:
Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Some potential :flakey: in Korean :14clown: range.
kma_z500_anom_noram_252.png
kma_t850_anom_noram_264.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

JMA has the Alaska ridge further west in a weeks time which sends a lot more cold air west of the Rockies.
jma_z500a_namer_8.png
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 1:28 pm That ship sailed long ago. YVR recorded 4cm of snow on Nov 19th.
1000% wrong, no question about that. It's a T (trace) in my books.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

tyweather wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 10:53 am Yearly snowfall trends
Yearly snowfall doesn't make sense. I prefer seasonal snowfall (Nov. to Apr.).

Capture d’écran 2025-01-11 à 15.42.17.jpg
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 1:28 pm Vancouver has never had any calendar years without at least a trace of snow in recorded history.
For seasonal stats, the record is a T (trace) in 1957-58 and 1991-92. Then 0.3 cm in 1944-45.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 3:49 pm For seasonal stats, the record is a T (trace) in 1957-58 and 1991-92. Then 0.3 cm in 1944-45.
Yep, even when using calendar year stats, the record low is a trace.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 3:40 pm 1000% wrong, no question about that. It's a T (trace) in my books.
Agreed. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert: :chilly: :alert:

A refresher on some cold weather stats for Vancouver:


Image


Image


Image


Image


Image
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Looks like that post didn't work Typer
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 3:14 pm JMA has the Alaska ridge further west in a weeks time which sends a lot more cold air west of the Rockies.
jma_z500a_namer_8.png
jma_T850a_namer_8.png
And a SE ridge. :wish:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Ah, last January, when everyone had such low expectations because of El Niño.

Then came the severe arctic blast. Then came the sloppy marginal overrunning event in the models. Then, within the final 24 hours, the low went south a bit and it became a solidly snowy overrunning event. I made the following prediction:
Screenshot 2025-01-11 at 19.35.25.png
viewtopic.php?p=1294581#p1294581

And it busted low.
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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