February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

[PortKells]

The GFS was warmer but the GEM got much closer, getting a little closer to consensus.

Not huge totals but more than before.

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[Rubus_Leucodermis]

The GFS was warmer but the GEM got much closer, getting a little closer to consensus.

Not huge totals but more than before.

gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-9132400.png

Terrain bleed.

[SouthSardiswx]

Terrain bleed.

It's over bleed. We reached a high of 12c @ the pond in south Sardis today.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

It's over bleed. We reached a high of 12c @ the pond in south Sardis today.

About the same in Bellingham where I'm cleaning out my condo and getting it ready to sell.

[PortKells]

Well I guess it's over, shut down the site until next year when it will be over again 5 days before a possible event even starts.

[VanCitySouth]

Well I guess it's over, shut down the site until next year when it will be over again 5 days before a possible event even starts.

Nito's fork looking a bit like this given how often we've stuck and unstuck it in winter this year.

[Catnip]

Nito's fork looking a bit like this given how often we've stuck and unstuck it in winter this year.

[Hound]

So I got bit by a mosquito today.. no joke. First time EVER at this time of year! We need it cold to kill these bastards!

[stuffradio]

Not bad

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[Weather101]

Yeah I mean I think back to the 2014-2016 period and think how much worse it’s been. As the climate warms you take what you can get unfortunately

That was brutal stretch for us.

[Weather101]

I just can't take Environment Canada seriously anymore.

I think they take the Canadian model outputs and just spit them out until a couple days away. The Canadian model has a clear and obvious warm bias when you compare it to the other models. Although that doesn't explain june 2021...I think they just didn't believe the model output there.

If you looked at EC forecast, you wouldn't even think anyone has a chance of snow, lol

[Weather101]

In most measurable aspects, this has been an F-tier winter. Very warm maxes, very few days with sub-freezing lows, mountains that are bare thru mid-February. Even with the January snow, we are barely above the average winter snowfall at all (about 35 cm at YVR this year vs a 30-year moving average of about 30 cm). The 30 cm dump is good, but after similar dumps in December 2021 and 2022 is not that far an outlier anymore.

I would give this winter a C, with a decent chance of moving up to a C+ with any sticking snow next week. I don't think grading a winter better because it happened in a Niño is really productive, and as a lot of those on here know the cold neutrals often outperform Niñas in the PacNW anyways.

You completely nailed it. I 100 percent agree with this post.

[Weather101]

So I got bit by a mosquito today.. no joke. First time EVER at this time of year! We need it cold to kill these bastards!

Whattttt? Not in February

[PortKells]

So I got bit by a mosquito today.. no joke. First time EVER at this time of year! We need it cold to kill these bastards!

Dang. If January didn’t do it, this definitely won’t.

[PortKells]

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