August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Aug 07, 2021 11:03 am 15mm in Coquitlam
Only 3.3mm here. :thumbdown:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Aug 07, 2021 10:50 am How hot do you think Abbotsford and Chilliwack will get with the smoke?
32-35C. A thicker smoke layer could mean temps well below that. 25C.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12z GEFS suggests the Op breaks down the ridge too soon. Stays pretty warm until the end of the run.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z Euro. :sick:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: ↑Sat Aug 07, 2021 10:54 am Looking like a more pronounced heat spike on the ensembles in recent runs. Hot for 4-5 days before the ridge breaks down
600 dm ridge over us with a developing Greenland block. I don't see this stupid pattern breaking down.

:thumbdown:

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Last edited by wetcoast91 on Sat Aug 07, 2021 11:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

4.9mm so far, but I'll have to check the manual gauge later.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sat Aug 07, 2021 11:35 am 12Z Euro. :sick:
That is absolutely horrific. Looking somehow worse than late June at 500mb.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Aug 07, 2021 11:21 am Only 3.3mm here. :thumbdown:
If we could, I'd trade my 15 for your 3. 8-)
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sat Aug 07, 2021 11:36 am 600 dm ridge over us with a developing Greenland block. I don't see this stupid pattern breaking down.

:thumbdown:
00Z EPS would agree with you in some respect.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sat Aug 07, 2021 11:36 am 600 dm ridge over us with a developing Greenland block. I don't see this stupid pattern breaking down.

:thumbdown:

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Toasty with a side of smoke and tumbleweed. :blowtor:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sat Aug 07, 2021 11:38 am That is absolutely horrific. Looking somehow worse than late June at 500mb.
Not quite as bad, but probably as destructive.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sat Aug 07, 2021 11:41 am Not quite as bad, but probably as destructive.
Do you have the low level and upper level wind charts?

Hoping for a 2017 redux with thick smoke knocking 10-15C off the temps. I think a few days of smoke beats a few days of temps near 40C here.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Remains toasty into next weekend. :thumbdown:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sat Aug 07, 2021 11:44 am Do you have the low level and upper level wind charts?

Hoping for a 2017 redux with thick smoke knocking 10-15C off the temps. I think a few days of smoke beats a few days of temps near 40C here.
Yup. That'll bring in some smoke.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sat Aug 07, 2021 11:47 am Yup. That'll bring in some smoke.
Overall not too bad. AQ will be very bad but filtered sunshine + steady offshore winds will keep it from getting unbearable temp wise.
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