September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Coquitlam79]

When this pattern breaks it will break in a big way. AR and flooding is my prediction. Like 2003. I don't see it breaking until mid-October. The models are all over the place, there are typhoons in the Western Pacific that are not doing normal things in terms of their track. They're recurving but northward into Korea and Russia. That's screwing up the models. Look for a big Bering sea low to pump up a big ridge over the West coast until early October at least.. the drought continues. Just hope the salmon streams don't dry up that could be a disaster.

[SouthSardiswx]

When this pattern breaks it will break in a big way. AR and flooding is my prediction. Like 2003. I don't see it breaking until mid-October. The models are all over the place, there are typhoons in the Western Pacific that are not doing normal things in terms of their track. They're recurving but northward into Korea and Russia. That's screwing up the models. Look for a big Bering sea low to pump up a big ridge over the West coast until early October at least.. the drought continues. Just hope the salmon streams don't dry up that could be a disaster.

What another outstanding read Cmen79, your putting it all on the line. can l pump your tires in saying your synopsis is spot on usually.
Good job are you sure your not a meteorologist in disguise.

[SouthSardiswx]

Break out the Egg grog!

All set brother Stuffers. it's currently 18c at the pond in south Sardis and cloudy, Watching for flashes to the east but nothing.

[SouthSardiswx]

Except for this whole smoke business...

Awesome seeing Bare man out of hibernation for the winter. wait oh never mind welcome to another fun winter season of arguments model bashing inaccurate snowfall measurements and just plane normalcy.

[Roberts Creeker]

I’ll give you guys dry, if you give me some fog!

Yes! I'll take that, love the fog. As long as we have some good rain first. I wouldn't mind an early too if we're putting in our order.

Most of the Sunshine Coast is on severe water restrictions, no outside use of tap water at all, not even for watering a food garden. It's sad to see her normally gorgeous, lush, well cared for gardens dying. I'm looking after a friend's garden and she left me a multitude of containers filled with grey water from her bath, clothes washer, sink, etc. It's a lot but not much to last the week plus that they're gone so I'm hauling water with me. I have a well so I don't have those restrictions.

[SouthSardiswx]

Yes! I'll take that, love the fog. As long as we have some good rain first. I wouldn't mind an early too if we're putting in our order.

Most of the Sunshine Coast is on severe water restrictions, no outside use of tap water at all, not even for watering a food garden. I'm looking after a friend's garden and she left me a multitude of containers filled with grey water from her bath, clothes washer, sink, etc. It's a lot but not much to last the week plus that they're gone so I'm hauling water with me. I have a well so I don't have those restrictions.

Yes your lucky with the well, what a nice neighbor you are Ms. Friendlyneighbourcreeks. That would be some funky water indeedit should be interesting how the garden reacts.
Do you have some stand by plants just in case it goes south.

[SouthSardiswx]

Friend of mine is on an Alaskan cruise here's some pics from Juneau today fall is on the way.

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[Roberts Creeker]

Friend of mine is on an Alaskan cruise here's some pics from Juneau today fall is on the way.
IMG_20220913_215051.jpgIMG_20220913_215029.jpgIMG_20220913_215015.jpgIMG_20220913_215003.jpg

Looks beautiful and yes, like fall. Funny, that's what my friend is doing, cruise to Alaska, just left today. Know another couple cruising up there next week. Must be popular.

[Roberts Creeker]

Yes your lucky with the well, what a nice neighbor you are Ms. Friendlyneighbourcreeks. That would be some funky water indeedit should be interesting how the garden reacts.
Do you have some stand by plants just in case it goes south.

People have been doing this for a couple of years now because we run short on water and it seems to work.

I had a lettuce go to seed and was thinking I should start some and plant the seedlings on the last day. Wouldn't that be a surprise!

[Typeing3]

I’ll give you guys dry, if you give me some fog!

Deal!

[SouthSardiswx]

Deal!

Looks like a cell most likely moved through Boston Bar 9:30-10:00p.m. tonight and then fizzled out its located just west of Harrison Lake now.

[SouthSardiswx]

Deal!

Do l get to keep me shorts on for awhile longer? not ready for the long pants quite yet.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

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00z ECMWF ensembles:

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00z GEM ensembles:

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[Typeing3]

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[Typeing3]

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles

00z GEFS (GFS ensembles)

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00z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)

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00z GEPS (GEM ensembles)

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