April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Apr 13, 2022 8:34 pm That was a great one. Essentially no rain from mid July until mid October.
Early guess Tbones for next winters 3rd El Nina?
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Apr 13, 2022 2:49 pm From all signs, a summer resembling 2012...
I think that was a relatively benign summer if I remember correctly. Not much in terms of extremes for heat/precip.
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PortKells
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Apr 13, 2022 8:34 pm That was a great one. Essentially no rain from mid July until mid October.
Maybe I'm thinking of 2011 when I thought he was suggesting a cold/wet summer. Did 2012 have any bad fires? Or was there a heavy monsoon season in June to keep them down?
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: ↑Thu Apr 14, 2022 6:44 am Maybe I'm thinking of 2011 when I thought he was suggesting a cold/wet summer. Did 2012 have any bad fires? Or was there a heavy monsoon season in June to keep them down?
Come to think of it, I think it was 2011 that was that San Francisco-ish summer I remember.
Last edited by Rubus_Leucodermis on Thu Apr 14, 2022 9:44 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

-7 this morning... -6 at the Kelowna airport!
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: ↑Thu Apr 14, 2022 6:44 am Maybe I'm thinking of 2011 when I thought he was suggesting a cold/wet summer. Did 2012 have any bad fires? Or was there a heavy monsoon season in June to keep them down?
Fire season was surprisingly mundane considering how dry things were from mid July thru mid October. June2012 was extremely wet though, yes.
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Glacier wrote: ↑Thu Apr 14, 2022 9:34 am -7 this morning... -6 at the Kelowna airport!
Not looking forward to the cold temps this weekend in the Similkameens while i go Easter Egg hunting :thumbdown: :thumbdown:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert:

Low of -1.7c this morning at YVR which is the coldest April temp observed at the airport in almost 15 years (-2.1c on April 1st, 2008).

:chilly:
:typing: :type3:
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

This is crazy, the weeklies are below normal through the end of May...
ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-t2m_c_anom_46day-3868800.png
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Thu Apr 14, 2022 3:23 pm This is crazy, the weeklies are below normal through the end of May...

ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-t2m_c_anom_46day-3868800.png
Maybe the delayed onset of mountain snow melting will mean no smoke season this summer? Hey, I can hope.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Apr 14, 2022 3:15 pm :alert:

Low of -1.7c this morning at YVR which is the coldest April temp observed at the airport in almost 15 years (-2.1c on April 1st, 2008).

:chilly:
https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... cHMoB_uzdQ
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Hawk wrote: ↑Thu Apr 14, 2022 12:19 pm Not looking forward to the cold temps this weekend in the Similkameens while i go Easter Egg hunting :thumbdown: :thumbdown:
You're going ice egg hunting? with a side of frozen rabbit? :lol: :lol:
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

There's a high based tstorm impacting Metro Van. Very high cloud tops.
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Re: April 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Apr 14, 2022 8:11 pm There's a high based tstorm impacting Metro Van. Very high cloud tops.
Yes l can see that cloud top from Abby land El Neeters, super cell tornadic possibility. :D
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
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