January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Michael1
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

another awesome day up Washington.
https://www.mountwashington.ca/alpine-cam.html
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Antares
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

wow, wish I was there right now.

Blizzard conditions almost.
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

Antares wrote: Tue Jan 05, 2021 11:59 am wow, wish I was there right now.

Blizzard conditions almost.
Even heavier snow rates now!! People are still trying to ski, but not many lol
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

I had a feeling the EPS would be slower with the evolution. But the PNA is shown heading further negative so I’ll take it. It’s usually the las5 to jump on board and why I’m wary of a false start with the other models.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Most (if not all) of Jan is looking like a write off.

Pattern may turn favourable during the last five days of the month, but long range models seem to indicate blocking will set up too close to the coast.

Seems like its our destiny to score in Feb these days so if the GOA ridge retrogrades we could perhaps see a backdoor blast. Maybe something similar to early Feb 2014.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Jan 05, 2021 12:37 pm Most (if not all) of Jan is looking like a write off.

Pattern may turn favourable during the last five days of the month, but long range models seem to indicate blocking will set up too close to the coast.

Seems like its our destiny to score in Feb these days so if the GOA ridge retrogrades we could perhaps see a backdoor blast. Maybe something similar to early Feb 2014.
I'm not seeing that. The trend is for the blocking to move westward. The bigger trend is Nito stopped posting about it, other than last nights drunk GEM.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Pretty safe bet we are heading into a -PNA pattern after mid month.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Jan 05, 2021 1:37 pm Pretty safe bet we are heading into a -PNA pattern after mid month.
Not to mention a neutral or slightly negative EPO. Baby steps, but it's happening.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

#beginningofFEB
1.png
2.png
3.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Tue Jan 05, 2021 1:58 pm #beginningofFEB

1.png
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3.png
Yep.

Stick a fork in Jan. Feb is our winter month these days.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Jan 05, 2021 12:37 pm Most (if not all) of Jan is looking like a write off.

Pattern may turn favourable during the last five days of the month, but long range models seem to indicate blocking will set up too close to the coast.

Seems like its our destiny to score in Feb these days so if the GOA ridge retrogrades we could perhaps see a backdoor blast. Maybe something similar to early Feb 2014.
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Bonovox
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Jan 05, 2021 2:00 pm Yep.

Stick a fork in Jan. Feb is our winter month these days.
It is rather frustrating, but that seems to be the case. I'll take it over a complete write off though.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Jan 05, 2021 2:12 pm It is rather frustrating, but that seems to be the case. I'll take it over a complete write off though.
Agreed.

I think something similar to early Feb 2014 is a reasonable expectation at this point.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Jan 05, 2021 2:30 pm Agreed.

I think something similar to early Feb 2014 is a reasonable expectation at this point.
Bone dry as well? :wtf:

Why not Feb 2019?
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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