November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[wetcoast91]

This is what the long-term models show: a very dry winter. The signal is very strong.

I want Daffodils and Cherry Blossoms in January!

[Storm]

#extrapolate



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'Tis the season.

[SouthSardiswx]

'Tis the season.

Not yet Stormy need afew egg grogs going then the fights and arguments begin over snowfall maps and disagreements over Arctic blast or Arctic fart starts and then the rug pulls begin.

[Michael1]

I can deal with a warm winter, since we've done pretty well the last couple of years, but the dry is worrying. I'll take rain over a drought.

[stuffradio]

Score!

gfs_asnow_nwus_65.png

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image.png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (1).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (2).png

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20231115143152-278b1aa66fada071788428b5bcf242c7fd0fdb89.png

[Typeing3]

Yesterday was the first day in two weeks with no measurable precip at YVR.

[Typeing3]

This is what the long-term models show: a very dry winter. The signal is very strong.

[moonshadow0825]

The early-mid December 1972 cold snap was followed by a very significant prolonged rain storm.

The rainstorm, which occurred towards the end of a two-week warm and very wet period caused extensive flooding of basements in greater Vancouver.

yes, yes it did! Reading this prompted a very strong memory I have of waking up in the Marpole bungalow we lived in, going downstairs to the basement to wake my younger brother, seeing the water lapping at the bottom stair, hiking back up to put my rubber boots on and then heading back down to get him up. I was around 6 then, never occurred to me to let my parents know the whole basement had flooded

[SouthSardiswx]

Score!

gfs_asnow_nwus_65.png

Nope that's tonight against Bo knows crap ol'e Stuffed one. It's currently 4c @ the pond in south Sardis no frost in the central valley high thin clouds l think kept a cap on temperatures the low so far was 0.7c.

[Hawk]

wow so many sad signals..esp the Euro going 180 on the short/mid range =

[wetcoast91]

wow so many sad signals..esp the Euro going 180 on the short/mid range =

Lots of sunny crisp days ahead with good air quality.

We could do worse Hawk.

[stuffradio]

notches

gfs_T2ma_nwus_65.png

gfs_asnow_nwus_65_12Z.png

[Catnip]

notches

gfs_T2ma_nwus_65.png
gfs_asnow_nwus_65_12Z.png

Ya, 12Z GFS isn't all that bad. Throw in some notches and it would have some potential.

[Catnip]

Maybe some backdoor action?

Lots of blocking up North.

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