December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Storm
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 8:14 am Heaviest precip shifted a little southward on this one.

4-8cm for Metro Van

20-30 cm for Puget Sound
Solid 6 inches. More snow on Tuesday morning.
44051B0A-3885-4D11-9DFA-F9E8957DA630.thumb.jpeg.0384f8689a4c6cfd5d2ac0e4669d9e50.jpeg.jpg
Also more snow on Wednesday. I like this solution better, keeps us colder.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

By Thursday.
Screenshot_20211202-082401_Samsung Internet.jpg
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 8:17 am Solid 6 inches. More snow on Tuesday morning.
44051B0A-3885-4D11-9DFA-F9E8957DA630.thumb.jpeg.0384f8689a4c6cfd5d2ac0e4669d9e50.jpeg.jpg

Also more snow on Wednesday. I like this solution better, keeps us colder.
Besides, it’s fairly common for the models to vary a bit from run to run. That initial batch of snow may well shift its focus northward again. At this stage, it’s nothing to get worked up over (unless one “enjoys” that sort of model riding, to each his own).
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 8:28 am Besides, it’s fairly common for the models to vary a bit from run to run. That initial batch of snow may well shift its focus northward again. At this stage, it’s nothing to get worked up over (unless one “enjoys” that sort of model riding, to each his own).
Of course. This is all phantom snow. Where exactly and how much remains to be seen.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

gfs-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1-9105200.png
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 8:34 am gfs-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1-9105200.png
Run is too snowy. Toss it out.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Also a very BIG if this happens, this city is Fucked. They can't handle this snow what so ever.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 8:14 am Heaviest precip shifted a little southward on this one.

4-8cm for Metro Van

20-30 cm for Puget Sound
I got like 1-3 cm of snow last year so this would be a massive 100% win.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 8:37 am Run is too snowy. Toss it out.
I'm going to have to agree. The GFS is just bad right now.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Pumpkin Seed »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 8:34 am gfs-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1-9105200.png
Don’t believe it will verify. For us in Richmond most likely cold rain or some slushes at most. But still feel good to start the season this way. Last year we waited till mid February to see something happened.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z ICON.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

PortKells wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 8:57 am I'm going to have to agree. The GFS is just bad right now.
GEM is bad too, has well over a foot by the end of the run. Similar to GFS colder.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z GFS. Round 1.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 9:11 am 12Z GFS. Round 1.
And then multiple chances during the week.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Maybe more realistic?

:dunno:
blend_acc_snow_seattle_144.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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