Wintergirl wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:49 am
No wind yet here but forecast says tomorrow they start, hoping! Love me some outflow winds howling! Cold and spectacular day here in the gorgeous sun! Snow would be better though! Any insight on how strong the winds will be for Squamish?
Looks like EC is going with 40-60 with gusts of up to 80km/h tomorrow in southern sections.
I would think an outflow warning is coming soon for you.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:50 am
Potential is there with that track. At face value, I'd lean towards yes.
The path the Saturday low takes on the Euro looks eerily similar to the Dec 21st, 2008 snowstorm if you remember that one.
What were the accumulations? Uniformly distributed around the South Island? I seem to recall the airport getting more than the view royal area but I can’t find records to corroborate.
Wintergirl wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:49 am
No wind yet here but forecast says tomorrow they start, hoping! Love me some outflow winds howling! Cold and spectacular day here in the gorgeous sun! Snow would be better though! Any insight on how strong the winds will be for Squamish?
Based on the 12z GFS... I'd say expect gusts 60-80km/hr tomorrow and 70-90km/hr Thursday into early Friday. Could be locally even stronger if these maps are correct.
gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_6.png
gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_10.png
gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_13.png
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Wintergirl wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:49 am
No wind yet here but forecast says tomorrow they start, hoping! Love me some outflow winds howling! Cold and spectacular day here in the gorgeous sun! Snow would be better though! Any insight on how strong the winds will be for Squamish?
NoahG wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:58 am
What were the accumulations? Uniformly distributed around the South Island? I seem to recall the airport getting more than the view royal area but I can’t find records to corroborate.
Guesstimating here but I'd say 25-50cm over 48hrs across the south island.
Storm total was 49cm at YYJ from the evening of the 20th thru the morning of the 22nd. 36cm one day total on the 21st.
There's lots of stations on the south island but not many with snowfall data unfortunately.
Looks like "Victoria Highland" had a storm total of 41cm on the 21st/22nd. "Victoria Francis Park" recorded 20cm on the 21st, with no data available for the 20th/22nd.
Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 12:00 pm
Based on the 12z GFS... I'd say expect gusts 60-80km/hr tomorrow and 70-90km/hr Thursday into early Friday. Could be locally even stronger if these maps are correct.
gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_6.png
gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_10.png
gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_13.png
Wowzers!!! I better go make sure the tarps on my wood shed are secured
Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 12:10 pm
Guesstimating here but I'd say 25-50cm over 48hrs across the south island.
Storm total was 49cm at YYJ from the evening of the 20th thru the morning of the 22nd. 36cm one day total on the 21st.
There's lots of stations on the south island but not many with snowfall data unfortunately.
Looks like "Victoria Highland" had a storm total of 41cm on the 21st/22nd. "Victoria Francis Park" recorded 20cm on the 21st, with no data available for the 20th/22nd.
Those are both high terrain areas. I remember at least 40 cm on the ground though at my place (I was only 7 then)
So, the forecast high today is +1C... currently I'm at -1.6C. Seems probable that it doesn't go above freezing here. Always a nice sign when it's colder than forecast. Would love to see it dip to -14C in the coming days (my station record is -13.1C), but that seems a bit unlikely.
Monday is a pro d day then tack on 3 snow days 