December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

Last week's Euro weekly control run was closer to a classic blast though not there quite yet:
It also broke the January curse!

ecmwf-weeklies-c00-namer-t850_anom_7day-8441600.png

Now that's a classic blast. Looks like we get some -NAO help in that pic.

[Catnip]

Can always count on the carrots.

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[SouthSardiswx]

Last week's Euro weekly control run was closer to a classic blast though not there quite yet:
It also broke the January curse!

ecmwf-weeklies-c00-namer-t850_anom_7day-8441600.png

We never see that anymore, those Portlanders love anything backdoor.

[SouthSardiswx]

Can always count on the carrots.

933A2D94-CB89-4C61-A06D-2D78FA504AB2.png
414D1A14-54D4-43E3-92BC-6E78D47D372A.png

l give it 10 rotten tomatoes.

[Typeing3]

We never see that anymore, those Portlanders love anything backdoor.

No kidding. All our "arctic blasts" of late have looked like the first pic Jr posted.

[SouthSardiswx]

Can always count on the carrots.

933A2D94-CB89-4C61-A06D-2D78FA504AB2.png
414D1A14-54D4-43E3-92BC-6E78D47D372A.png

That looks more like the east threw us a bone.

[Catnip]

GEFS support.

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[AbbyJr]

Now that's a classic blast. Looks like we get some -NAO help in that pic.

Yeah after looking at it again it looks pretty classic with 850 mb temp anomalies at least -15C in Northern BC, right?

[SouthSardiswx]

No kidding. All our "arctic blasts" of late have looked like the first pic Jr posted.

Yup just to have one of those so Jr. can see what it was like.

[AbbyJr]

No kidding. All our "arctic blasts" of late have looked like the first pic Jr posted.

Here's what the 500 mb chart looked like at that timeframe.
That is some insane blocking.

ecmwf-weeklies-c00-namer-z500_anom_7day-8441600.png

ecmwf-weeklies-c00-nhemi-z500_anom_7day-8441600.png

[wetcoast91]

Rainfall has really overperformed today. Unfortunately been all rain on the local Mountains.

[Typeing3]

Yeah after looking at it again it looks pretty classic with 850 mb temp anomalies at least -15C in Northern BC, right?

Yeah, looks like it.

Once you see those kind of anomalies set into the BC interior...it's a classic blast. If they're in Southern Alberta, Montana or eastern Oregon...it's backdoor.

[Catnip]

Rainfall has really overperformed today. Unfortunately been all rain on the local Mountains.

It was snowing on Grouse for part of the day, but ya, raining now.

[SouthSardiswx]

Is that Johnny's altered ego Misterfraservalley.

[AbbyJr]

Yeah, looks like it.

Once you see those kind of anomalies set into the BC interior...it's a classic blast. If they're in Southern Alberta, Montana or eastern Oregon...it's backdoor.

Now lets get that solution to show up in the Euro Ensemble mean in January in the believable range